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Hurricane Research Division

Scientific Publications
by Hurricane Research Division personnel
(1999-2004)

[names of Hurricane Research Division authors appear in CAPITAL letters]

2004
(October 1, 2003-September 30, 2004)

  1. POWELL, M.D., D. Bowman, D. Gilhousen, S. MURILLO, N. CARRASCO, and R. ST.FLUER "Tropical Cyclone Winds at Landfall" Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 85(6):845-851 (June 2004)

  2. DUNION, J.P. and C.S.Velden The Impact of the Saharan Air Layer on Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 85(3):353-365 (March 2004)

  3. Harasti,P.R., McAdie,C.J., DODGE, P.P., Lee, W-C, Tuttle, J., MURILLO, S.T., MARKS, F.D. Real-Time Implementation of Single-Doppler Radar Analysis Methods for Tropical Cyclones: Algorithm Improvements and Use with WSR-88D Display Data. Weather and Forecasting 19(2) 219-239 (February 2004)

  4. McFarquhar, G.M., BLACK, R.A. Observations of Particle Size and Phase in Tropical Cyclones: Implications for Mesoscale Modeling of Microphysical Processes Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 61(4) 422-439 (April 2004)

  5. Pandya, R.E., D.R.Smith, M.K.Ramamurthy, P.J.Croft, M.J.Hayes, K.A.Murphy, J.D.MacDonnel, R.M. Johnson, and H.A. FRIEDMAN 11th AMS Education Symposium.Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 85(3):425-430 (March 2004)

2003
(October 1, 2002-September 30, 2003)

  1. ABERSON, S.D. Targeted observations to improve operational tropical cyclone track forecast guidance. Monthly Weather Review, 131(8):1613-1628 (2003).

  2. ABERSON, S.D. Two years of operational hurricane synoptic surveillance. Weather and Forecasting, 17(5):1101-1110 (2002).

  3. ABERSON, S.D., and C.R. Sampson. On the predictability of tropical cyclone tracks in the northwest Pacific basin. Monthly Weather Review, 131(7):1491-1497 (2003).

  4. BLACK, R.A., and G.M. Heymsfiled, J. Hallett. Extra large particle images at 12km in a hurricane eyewall: Evidence of high-altitude supercooled water ?. Geophysical Research Letters 30(21):2124 (2003).

  5. CIONE, J.J., and E.W. UHLHORN. Sea surface temperature variability in hurricanes: Implications with respect to intensity change. Monthly Weather Review, 131(8):1783-1796 (2003).

  6. DUNION, J.P., C.W. LANDSEA, S.H. Houston, and M.D. POWELL. A reanalysis of the surface winds for Hurricane Donna of 1960. Monthly Weather Review, 131(9):1992-2011 (2003).

  7. Franklin, J.L., M.L. BLACK, and K. VALDE. GPS dropwindsonde wind profiles in hurricanes and their operational implications. Weather and Forecasting, 18(1):32-44 (2003).

  8. Gedzelman, S., E. Hindman, X. Zhang, J. Lawrence, J.F. GAMACHE, M.L. BLACK, R.A. BLACK, J.P. DUNION, and H.E. WILLOUGHBY. Probing hurricanes with stable isotopes of rain and water vapor. Monthly Weather Review, 131(6):1112-1127 (2003).

  9. Houston, S.H., and M.D. POWELL, 2003 : Surface wind fields for Florida Bay Hurricanes, Journal of Coastal Research, vol. 19, pp.503-513

  10. KAPLAN, J., DeMaria,M. Large-Scale Characteristics of Rapidly Intensifying Tropical Cyclones in the North Atlantic Basin. Weather and Forecasting 18(6) 1093-1108 (2003)

  11. Kollias, P., B.A. Albrecht, and F.D. MARKS. Cloud radar observations of vertical drafts and microphysics in convective rain. Journal of Geophysical Research, 108(D2):4053 doi:10.1029/2001JD002033 (2003).

  12. Kollias, P., B.A. Albrecht, and F.D. MARKS. Why Mie? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 83(10):1471-1483 (2002).

  13. Lee, W.-C., F.D. MARKS, and C. Walther. Airborne Doppler radar data analysis workshop. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 84(8):1063-1075 (2003).

  14. MARKS, F.D. Hurricanes. In Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences, Elsevier Science Ltd., London, UK, 942-966 (2003).

  15. MARKS, F.D. Hurricanes. In Handbook of Weather and Climate : Dynamics, Climate, Physical Meteorology, Weather Systems, and Measurments T.D. Potter and B.R. Colman (editors) John Wiley and Sons, Hobokan, NJ,641-676 (2003).

  16. MARKS, F. D., 2003: State of the Science: Radar View of Tropical Cyclones. Radar and Atmospheric Science: A Collection of Essays in Honor of David Atlas, Meteorological Monographs, 30, Edited by R.M Wakimoto and R. C. Srivastava, AMS, Boston, MA, 33-74.

  17. Mo, Q., A.G. Detwiler, J. Hallett, and R.A. BLACK. Horizontal structure of the electric field in the stratiform region of an Oklahoma mesoscale convective system. Journal of Geophysical Research, 108(D7):4225, doi:10.1029/2001JD001140 (2003).

  18. OOYAMA, K.V. The cubic-spline transform method: Basic definitions and tests in a 1D single domain. Monthly Weather Review, 130(10):2392-2415 (2002).

  19. Owens, B.F., and C.W. LANDSEA. Assessing the skill of operational Atlantic seasonal tropical cyclone forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 18(1):45-54 (2003).

  20. Pielke, R.A., J. Rubiera, C. LANDSEA, M.L. Fernandez, and R. Klein. Hurricane vulnerability in Latin America and the Caribbean: Normalized damage and loss potentials. Natural Hazards Review, 4(3):101-114 (2003).

  21. POWELL, M.D., P.J. Vickery, and T.A. Reinhold. Reduced drag coefficient for high wind speeds in tropical cyclones. Nature, 422:279-283 (2003).

  22. ROGERS, R.F., S. Chen, J. Tenerelli, and H.E. WIILLOUGHBY. A numerical study of the impact of vertical shear on the distribution of rainfall in Hurricane Bonnie (1998). Monthly Weather Review, 131(8):1577-1599 (2003).

  23. UHLHORN, E.W., and P.G. BLACK. Verification of remotely sensed sea surface winds in hurricanes. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 20(1):99-116 (2003).

2002
(October 1, 2001-September 30, 2002)

  1. Atlas, D., C.W. Ulbrich, and F.D. MARKS. Reply to comment by S.E. Yuter and R.A. Houze Jr. On 'Partitioning tropical oceanic convective and stratiform rains by draft strength.' Journal of Geophysical Research, 107(D1):4006, doi:10.1029/2001JD000658 (2002).

  2. BLACK, M.L., J.F. GAMACHE, F.D. MARKS, C.E. Samsury, and H.E. WILLOUGHBY. Eastern Pacific Hurricanes Jimena of 1991 and Olivia of 1994: The effect of vertical shear on structure and intensity. Monthly Weather Review, 130(9):2291-2312 (2002).

  3. DUNION, J.P., and C.S. Velden. Application of surface-adjusted GOES low-level cloud-drift winds in the environment of Atlantic tropical cyclones. Part I: Methodology and validation. Monthly Weather Review, 130(5):1333-1346 (2002).

  4. DUNION, J.P., S.H. Houston, C.S. Velden, and M.D. POWELL. Application of surface-adjusted GOES low-level cloud-drift winds in the environment of Atlantic tropical cyclones. Part II: Integration into surface wind analyses. Monthly Weather Review, 130(5):1347-1355 (2002).

  5. Eastin, M.D., P.G. BLACK, and W.M. Gray. Flight-level thermodynamic instrument wetting errors in hurricanes. Part I: Observations. Monthly Weather Review, 130(4):825-841 (2002).

  6. Eastin, M.D., P.G. BLACK, and W.M. Gray. Flight-level thermodynamic instrument wetting errors in hurricanes. Part II: Implications. Monthly Weather Review, 130(4):842-851 (2002).

  7. Katsaros, K.B., P.W. Vachon, W.T. Liu, and P.G. BLACK. Microwave remote sensing of tropical cyclones from space. Journal of Oceanography, 58(1-2):137-151 (2002).

  8. Lawrence, J.R., S.D. Gedzelman, J.F. GAMACHE, and M.L. BLACK. Stable isotope ratios: Hurricane Olivia. Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry, 41(1):67-82 (2002).

  9. POWELL, M.D., and S.D. ABERSON. Accuracy of United States tropical cyclone landfall forecasts in the Atlantic Basin (1976-2000). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 82(12):2749-2768 (2001).

  10. ROGERS, R.F., S.D. ABERSON, J. KAPLAN, and S.B. GOLDENBERG. A pronounced upper-tropospheric warm anomaly encountered by the NOAA Gulfstream-IV aircraft in the vicinity of deep convection. Monthly Weather Review, 130(1):180-187 (2002).

  11. Schecter, D.A., M.T. Montgomery, and P.D. REASOR. A theory for the vertical alignment of a quasigeostrophic vortex. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 59(2):150-168 (2002).

  12. Schubert, W.H., S.A. Hausman, M. Garcia, K.V. OOYAMA, and H.-C. Kuo. Potential vorticity in a moist atmosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 58(21):3148-3157 (2001).

  13. Smith, D.R., M.C. Hayes, M.K. Ramamurthy, J.W. Zeitler, K.A. Murphy, P.J. Croft, J.M. Nese, H.A. FRIEDMAN, H.W. Robinson, C.D. Thormeyer, P.A. Ruscher, and R.E. Pandya. Meeting summary: 10th AMS symposium on education. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 82(12):2817-2824 (2001).

  14. Walsh, E.J., C.W. Wright, D. Vandemark, W.B. Krabill, A.W. Garcia, S.H. Houston, S.T. MURILLO, M.D. POWELL, P.G. BLACK, and F.D. MARKS. Hurricane directional wave spectrum spatial variation at landfall. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 32(6):1667-1684 (2002).

2001
(October 1, 2000-September 30, 2001)

  1. ABERSON, S.D. The ensemble of tropical cyclone track forecasting models in the North Atlantic Basin (1976-2000). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 82(9):1895-1904 (2001).

  2. GOLDENBERG, S.B., C.W. LANDSEA, A.M. Mestas-Nuñez, and W.M. Gray. The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity. Causes and implications. Science, 293:474-479 (2001).

  3. KAPLAN, J., and M. DeMaria. On the decay of tropical winds after landfall in the New England area. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 40(2):280-286 (2001).

  4. Katzberg, S.J., R.A. Walker, J.H. Roles, T. Lynch, and P.G. BLACK. First GPS signals reflected from the interior of a tropical storm: Preliminary results from Hurricane Michael. Geophysical Research Letters, 28(10):1981-1984 (2001).

  5. Kollias, P., B.A. Albrecht, and F.D. MARKS. Raindrop sorting induced by vertical drafts in convective clouds. Geophysical Research Letters, 28(14):2787-2790 (2001).

  6. LANDSEA, C.W. Comment on 'Changes in the rates of North Atlantic major hurricane activity during the 20th century.' Geophysical Research Letters, 28(14):2871-2872 (2001).

  7. LANDSEA, C.W. El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the seasonal predictability of tropical cyclones. In El Niño and the Southern Oscillation: Multiscale Variability and Global and Regional Impacts, H.F. Diaz and V. Markgraf (eds). Cambridge University Press, 149-181 (ISBN 0521621380) (2000).

  8. Lee, W.-C., B. J.-D. Jou, P.-L. Chang, and F.D. MARKS. Tropical cyclone kinematic structure retrieved from single-Doppler radar observations. Part III: Evolution and structures of Typhoon Alex (1987). Monthly Weather Review, 128(12):3982-4001 (2000).

  9. Michaels, M., M. Shepard, S.D. ABERSON, H.A. FRIEDMAN, and K. Murphy. Survey results of Society membership: The face of our profession at the threshold of the new millennium. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 82(7):1331-1352 (2001).

  10. OOYAMA, K.V. A dynamic and thermodynamic foundation for modeling the moist atmosphere with parameterized microphyics. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 58(15):2073-2102 (2001).

  11. Phoebus, P.A., D.R. Smith, P.J. Croft, H.A. FRIEDMAN, M.C. Hayes, K.A. Murphy, M.K. Ramamurthy, B. Watkins, and J.W. Zeitler. Meeting summary: Ninth AMS symposium of education. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 82(2):295-303 (2001).

  12. Protat, A; Y. Lemaitre; D. Bouniol; R.A. BLACK Microphysical observations during FASTEX from airborne Doppler radar and in-situ measurements Physics and Chemistry of the Earth. B: Hydrology, Oceans and Atmosphere, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. Vol. 25, no. 10-12, pp. 1097-1102. (2000).

  13. REASOR, P.D., and M.T. Montgomery. Three-dimensional alignment and corotation of weak, TC-like vortices via linear vortex Rossby waves. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 58(16):2306-2330 (2001).

  14. ROGERS, R.F., and J.M. Fritsch. Surface cyclogenesis from convectively-driven amplification of mid-level mesoscale convective vortices. Monthly Weather Review, 129(4):605-637 (2001).

  15. Testud, J., S. Oury, R.A. BLACK, P. Amayenc, and X. Dou. The concept of 'normalized' distribution to describe raindrop spectra: A tool for cloud physics and cloud remote sensing. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 40(6):1118-1140 (2001).

  16. WILLOUGHBY, H.E., and R.W. JONES. Nonlinear motion of a barotropic vortex in still air and in an environmental zonal flow. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 58(14):1907-1923 (2001).

  17. Wright, C.W., E.J. Walsh, D. Vandemark, W.B. Krabill, A.W. Garcia, S.H. Houston, M.D. POWELL, P.G. BLACK, and F.D. MARKS. Hurricane directional wave spectrum spatial variation in the open ocean. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 31(8):2472-2488 (2001).

2000
(October 1, 1999-September 30, 2000)

  1. Atlas, D., C.W. Ulbrich, F.D. MARKS, R.A. BLACK, E. Amitai, P.T. WILLIS, and C.E. Samsury. Partitioning tropical oceanic convective and stratiform rains by draft strength. Journal of Geophysical Research, 105(D2):2259-2267 (2000).

  2. Bosart, L.F., C.S. Velden, W.E. Bracken, J. Molinari, and P.G. BLACK. Environmental influences on the rapid intensification of Hurricane Opal (1995) over the Gulf of Mexico. Monthly Weather Review, 128(2):322-352 (2000).

  3. CIONE, J.J., P.G. BLACK, and S.H. HOUSTON. Surface observations in the hurricane environment. Monthly Weather Review, 128(5):1550-1561 (2000).

  4. HOUSTON, S.H., W.A. Shaffer, M.D. POWELL, and J. Chen. Comparisons of HRD and SLOSH surface wind fields in hurricanes: Implications for storm surge modeling. Weather and Forecasting, 14(5):671-686 (1999).

  5. Jacob, S.D., L.K. Shay, A.J. Mariano, and P.G. BLACK. The 3D oceanic mixed layer response to Hurricane Gilbert. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 30(6):1407-1429 (2000).

  6. Katsaros, K.B., P. Vachon, P.G. BLACK, P.P. DODGE, and E.W. UHLHORN. Wind fields from SAR: Could they improve our understanding of storm dynamics? John Hopkins APL Technical Digest, 21(1):86-93 (2000).

  7. LANDSEA, C.W. Climate variability of tropical cyclones: Past, present, and future. In Storms (Volume 1), R.A. Peilke, Sr. and R.A. Peikle, Jr. (eds.). Routledge, New York (ISBN 041517239X), 220-241 (2000).

  8. LANDSEA, C.W., and J.A. Knaff. How much skill was there in forecasting the very strong 1997-1998 El Niño? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 81(9):2107-2120 (2000).

  9. Lee, W.-C., and F.D. MARKS. Tropical cyclone kinematic structure retrieved from single Doppler radar observations, Part II: The GBVTD-simplex center finding algorithm. Monthly Weather Review, 128(6):1925-1936 (2000).

  10. Pielke, R.A., C.W. LANDSEA, R.T. Musulin, and M. Downton. Evaluation of catastrophe models using a normalized historical record: Why it is needed and how to do it. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 18:177-194 (1999).

  11. POWELL, M.D. Tropical cyclones during and after landfall. In Storms (Volume 1), R. Peilke, Sr. and R. Peikle, Jr. (eds.). Routledge, New York (ISBN 041517239X), 196-219 (2000).

  12. REASOR, P.D., M.T. Montgomery, F.D. MARKS, and J.C. GAMACHE. Low-wavenumber structure and evolution of the hurricane inner core observed by airborne dual-Doppler radar. Monthly Weather Review, 128(6):1653-1680 (2000).

  13. ROGERS, R.F., J.M. Fritsch, and W.C. Lambert. A simple technique for using radar data in the dynamic initialization of a mesoscale model. Monthly Weather Review, 128(7):2560-2574 (2000).

  14. Shay, L.K., G.J. Goñi, and P.G. BLACK. Effects of a warm oceanic feature on Hurricane Opal. Monthly Weather Review, 128(5):1366-1383 (2000).

1999
(October 1, 1998-September 30, 1999)

  1. ABERSON, S.D., and J.L. FRANKLIN. Impact on hurricane track and intensity forecasts of GPS dropwindsonde observations from the first-season flights of the NOAA Gulfstream-IV jet aircraft. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 80(3):421-428 (1999).

  2. Atlas, D., C.W. Ulbrich, F.D. MARKS, E. Amitai, and C.R. Williams. Systematic variation of drop size and radar-rainfall relations. Journal of Geophysical Research, 104(D6):6155-6169 (1999).

  3. BLACK, R.A., and J. Hallett. Electrification of the hurricane. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 56(12):2004-2028 (1999).

  4. Bove, M.C., J.J. OBrien, J.B. Elsner, C.W. LANDSEA, and X. Niu. Effect of El Niño on U.S. landfalling hurricanes, revisited. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 79(11):2477-2482 (1998).

  5. DeMaria, M., and J. KAPLAN. An updated Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) for the Atlantic and eastern North Pacific basins. Weather and Forecasting, 14(3):326-337 (1999).

  6. DODGE, P.P., R.W. Burpee, and F.D. MARKS. The kinematic structure of a hurricane with sea-level pressure less than 900 mb. Monthly Weather Review, 127(6):987-1004 (1999).

  7. Donnelly, W.J., J.R. Carswell, R.E. McIntosh, P.S. Chang, J.C. Wilkerson, F.D. MARKS, and P.G. BLACK. Revised ocean backscatter models at C and Ku-band under high wind conditions. Journal of Geophysical Research, 104(C5):11,485-11,498 (1999).

  8. Ellsberry, R.L., and F.D. MARKS. The Hurricane Landfall Workshop summary. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 80(4):683-685 (1999).

  9. Hasler, A.F., K. Palaniappan, C. Kambhammetu, P.G. BLACK, E.W. UHLHORN, and D. Chesters. High-resolution wind fields within the inner core and eye of a mature tropical cyclone from GOES 1-min images. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 79(11):2483-2496 (1998).

  10. Hock, T.F., and J.L. FRANKLIN. The NCAR GPS dropwindsonde. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 80(3):407-420 (1999).

  11. JONES, R.W., and M. DeMaria. Further studies of the optimization of a hurricane track prediction model using the adjoint equations. Monthly Weather Review, 127(7):1586-1598 (1999).

  12. LANDSEA, C.W., R.A. Pielke, A.M. Mestas-Nuñez, and J.A. Knaff. Atlantic basin hurricanes: Indices of climatic changes. Climatic Change, 42:89-129 (1999).

  13. Pielke, R.A., and C.W. LANDSEA. La Niña, El Niño, and Atlantic hurricane damages in the United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 80(10):2027-2034 (1999).

  14. POWELL, M.D., and S.H. HOUSTON. Comments on 'A multiscale numerical study of Hurricane Andrew (1992). Part I: Explicit simulation and verification.' Monthly Weather Review, 127(7):1706-1710 (1999).

  15. POWELL, M.D., S.H. HOUSTON, L.R. AMAT, and N. MORISSEAU-LEROY. The HRD real-time hurricane wind analysis system. Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics, 77&78:53-64 (1998).

  16. Shapiro, L.J., and J.L. FRANKLIN. Potential vorticity asymmetries and tropical cyclone motion. Monthly Weather Review, 127(1):124-131 (1999).

  17. WILLOUGHBY, H.E. Tropical cyclone eye thermodynamics. Monthly Weather Review, 126(12):3053-3067 (1998).

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