:Data_list: ws_stats.txt :Created: 2004 Oct 30 0010 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Environment Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SEC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relativistic Electron Forecast Model - Performance Statistics # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # and solar wind speed predictions from the Wang Sheeley model # (WS mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # See documentation for details: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/refm/doc/REFMDoc.html # # Statistics based on REFM output from: 10/30/2003 - 10/29/2004 # # Missing data: -9.99 # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Forecast --------- Complete Stats ---------- ---- Stats for Last 30 Days ---- # Lead Time Prediction --- Skill Score vs --- Prediction --- Skill Score vs --- # (Days) Efficiency Persistence Recurrence Efficiency Persistence Recurrence #------------------------------------------------------------------------------- + 2 0.20 -0.01 0.40 0.26 0.14 0.50 + 3 -0.04 0.11 0.21 0.10 0.39 0.39 + 4 -0.37 0.04 -0.05 -0.16 0.41 0.22 + 5 -0.44 0.10 -0.09 -0.26 0.47 0.15 + 6 -0.46 0.17 -0.07 -0.19 0.59 0.27 + 7 -0.51 0.17 -0.14 -0.25 0.61 0.28 + 8 -0.89 -0.05 -0.29 -4.32 0.32 0.03