:Data_list: refm.txt :Created: 2004 Oct 30 0010 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Environment Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SEC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relative Electron Forcast Model # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # Observed values valid on date shown (00-00 UTC) # Forecasts valid for subsequent 24-hour periods, as specified # by forecast day number # # Units: fluence and forecast = electrons/cm2-da-sr # Missing data: SW Speed = -999, other fields = -9.9e+04 # # Observed Observed # UTC Date Fluence SW Speed Forecast Forecast Forecast # YR MO DA (>2 MeV) (km/s) Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 #------------------------------------------------------- 2004 08 31 4.4e+06 448 9.3e+06 2.2e+07 1.1e+07 2004 09 01 2.4e+07 483 4.5e+07 3.7e+07 1.7e+07 2004 09 02 1.1e+08 460 1.0e+08 3.3e+07 2.0e+07 2004 09 03 1.8e+08 383 7.1e+07 1.5e+07 6.9e+06 2004 09 04 1.8e+08 324 6.2e+07 4.9e+06 5.8e+06 2004 09 05 2.2e+07 332 8.4e+06 5.5e+06 7.2e+06 2004 09 06 5.4e+06 406 1.4e+07 2.7e+07 3.4e+07 2004 09 07 1.2e+07 432 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 2004 09 08 2.1e+07 401 3.2e+07 2.5e+07 1.4e+07 2004 09 09 4.7e+07 353 2.3e+07 1.0e+07 6.4e+06 2004 09 10 2.8e+07 316 1.1e+07 4.7e+06 2.7e+06 2004 09 11 2.7e+07 289 1.1e+07 1.9e+06 1.2e+06 2004 09 12 1.5e+07 326 1.2e+07 2.5e+06 2.0e+06 2004 09 13 2.1e+07 365 2.9e+07 5.4e+06 4.8e+06 2004 09 14 3.5e+07 573 1.2e+09 5.3e+08 9.0e+08 2004 09 15 1.5e+08 554 5.8e+08 8.4e+08 6.5e+08 2004 09 16 3.0e+08 538 9.3e+08 1.6e+09 1.5e+09 2004 09 17 1.6e+08 495 1.5e+08 8.3e+08 3.9e+08 2004 09 18 9.8e+07 437 5.3e+07 1.9e+08 1.1e+08 2004 09 19 2.0e+08 387 6.0e+07 6.9e+07 3.6e+07 2004 09 20 1.8e+07 391 1.1e+07 4.8e+07 4.8e+07 2004 09 21 9.0e+06 408 5.7e+06 4.6e+07 4.6e+07 2004 09 22 3.0e+07 480 7.5e+07 1.8e+08 1.9e+08 2004 09 23 6.6e+07 446 6.5e+07 9.3e+07 6.9e+07 2004 09 24 3.7e+07 421 3.1e+07 6.0e+07 4.8e+07 2004 09 25 7.6e+07 385 4.7e+07 3.4e+07 4.7e+07 2004 09 26 9.1e+07 359 3.9e+07 2.3e+07 3.7e+07 2004 09 27 4.5e+07 353 3.3e+07 2.0e+07 2.4e+07 2004 09 28 1.9e+06 395 2.5e+06 2.3e+07 3.6e+07 2004 09 29 1.1e+07 396 1.0e+07 2.2e+07 2.0e+07 2004 09 30 1.3e+07 374 1.5e+07 1.7e+07 1.5e+07 2004 10 01 2.0e+07 339 1.1e+07 7.2e+06 7.8e+06 2004 10 02 4.2e+06 370 4.4e+06 1.2e+07 1.8e+07 2004 10 03 3.8e+06 374 3.9e+06 1.0e+07 1.3e+07 2004 10 04 3.1e+06 386 3.7e+06 1.0e+07 8.7e+06 2004 10 05 6.6e+06 361 5.5e+06 3.6e+06 2.2e+06 2004 10 06 1.1e+07 327 4.7e+06 1.2e+06 8.9e+05 2004 10 07 2.4e+07 286 6.7e+06 6.1e+05 5.5e+05 2004 10 08 7.6e+06 336 9.4e+06 1.7e+06 2.6e+06 2004 10 09 1.8e+06 360 2.1e+06 2.6e+06 6.3e+06 2004 10 10 1.7e+06 375 2.4e+06 5.9e+06 1.4e+07 2004 10 11 1.8e+06 424 5.5e+06 2.1e+07 4.8e+07 2004 10 12 5.1e+06 428 8.1e+06 2.2e+07 2.8e+07 2004 10 13 3.5e+06 460 9.4e+06 4.6e+07 4.7e+07 2004 10 14 1.6e+08 528 6.2e+08 2.1e+08 1.4e+08 2004 10 15 4.7e+08 488 6.2e+08 1.2e+08 6.1e+07 2004 10 16 5.7e+08 398 2.0e+08 2.7e+07 1.7e+07 2004 10 17 6.0e+08 308 7.9e+07 4.6e+06 4.6e+06 2004 10 18 3.8e+08 307 9.9e+07 4.3e+06 5.3e+06 2004 10 19 5.9e+07 345 5.9e+07 6.5e+06 7.7e+06 2004 10 20 6.9e+06 413 1.5e+07 1.9e+07 1.8e+07 2004 10 21 1.6e+06 420 2.5e+06 1.9e+07 1.2e+07 2004 10 22 1.7e+06 396 1.8e+06 1.3e+07 1.0e+07 2004 10 23 3.0e+06 373 2.1e+06 9.6e+06 9.0e+06 2004 10 24 3.0e+06 451 7.3e+06 5.3e+07 5.3e+07 2004 10 25 1.1e+06 478 2.2e+06 8.3e+07 6.2e+07 2004 10 26 1.1e+06 434 1.1e+06 3.6e+07 2.2e+07 2004 10 27 1.4e+06 394 9.8e+05 1.4e+07 1.1e+07 2004 10 28 1.3e+06 337 5.3e+05 3.5e+06 3.1e+06 2004 10 29 1.1e+06 332 6.7e+05 2.6e+06 2.9e+06