Introduction

Short-term warnings and forecasts of geophysical activity are some of the services provided by Space Environment Center's Space Weather Operations (SWO). Effective use of these warnings and forecasts requires knowledge of their capability and limitations. Verification statistics and other quality information for these products can be found through these web pages.

The majority of the forecasts on SWO’s primary daily forecast product–the Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity (SDF)–are covered, as well as SWO’s geomagnetic K 5 and K 6 short-term warnings. Also found here are a glossary of verification terms, including formulae for the various metrics, and a verification bibliography that includes links to several PDF files of specific papers.

Future web page enhancements will add verification results for other routine SWO forecasts and warnings as well as quality information on new products as they become available. Updates to the verification results are planned at least annually; however, new charts, analyses, and other supplemental resources may be added at any time.

Information on each product is accessed through its own web page which is reached from the side navigation bar. Statistics lists and graphs for each product are displayed in their own “borderless” pop-up window that can be closed by clicking the “Close Window” button on the plot page or the close button on the navigation bar of the browser. The product verification page will remain on the desktop.

Last Page Update: August 2004