FRANCES HESITATES, EXPECTED TO
RESUME ITS MOTION TOWARD FLORIDA
LATER SATURDAY
(DISCLAIMER:
See the NOAA National Hurricane
Center for the latest information and more frequent
updates on this storm. Complete advisories are posted at
11 a.m., 5 p.m., 11 p.m. and 5 a.m. All times are Eastern. Advisories
are posted more frequently as the storm nears the USA mainland.) |
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Sept.
4, 2004 — At 2 p.m. EDT, the large eye of Hurricane Frances was
located by NOAA radar and reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 26.9 north,
longitude 79.0 west or about 70 miles east of Palm Beach, Fla. Data from
radar and a reconnaissance plane indicate that Frances has barely moved
during the past hour. However, the hurricane is expected to resume a west
to west-northwest track near 5 mph Saturday. On the forecast track, the
center of the large eye of Hurricane Frances will be very near the Florida
east coast by late Saturday night or early Sunday morning, according to
the NOAA Hurricane Center in Miami,
Fla. (Click NOAA “false color” close-up satellite
image for larger view of Hurricane Frances taken at 2:45 p.m. EDT on Sept.
4, 2004, as the large eye of the storm continues to move closer to the
east coast of Florida. Click
here for high resolution version, which is a large file. Please credit
“NOAA.”)
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph with higher gusts. Stronger winds,
especially in gusts, are possible on high rise buildings. Some strengthening
is possible before landfall.
Hurricane
force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center, and tropical
storm force winds extend outward up to 185 miles. Strong winds are already
affecting the east coast of Florida and will be spreading inland where
warnings for hurricane and tropical storm force winds have been issued.
Sustained winds of 80 mph were recently reported at Jupiter Inlet. (Click
NOAA National Weather Service Melbourne, Fla., Doppler radar image for
larger view of Hurricane Frances taken at 3:20 p.m. EDT on Sept. 4, 2004,
as the eye of the powerful and large storm slowly edges toward the Florida
east coast. Click
here for high resolution version, which is a large file. Please credit
“NOAA.”)
Minimum central pressure reported by a reconnaissance plane was 962 mb,
28.41 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels can be expected
on the west side of islands of the northern Bahamas.
Coastal
storm surge flooding of 4 to 6 feet above normal tide levels, along with
large and dangerous battering waves, is expected near and to the north
of where the center makes landfall in Florida. Storm surge flooding of
5 feet above normal levels is expected in Lake Okeechobee. Along the southwest
Florida coast storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels
is expected south of the path of Frances. (Click NOAA image for
larger view of 11 a.m. EDT Hurricane Frances tracking map for Sept. 4,
2004.)
Storm total rainfall amounts could reach 20 inches in the northwest Bahamas.
Rainfall amounts of 8 to 12 inches, with locally higher amounts, are expected
over the Florida peninsula in association with Frances.
Isolated
tornadoes are possible over central florida Saturday and Saturday night.
Swells generated by Frances are affecting portions of the southeastern
coast of the United States. These swells could cause dangerous surf and
rip currents. (Click NOAA satellite image for larger view of Hurricane
Frances taken at 8:45 a.m. EDT on Sept. 4, 2004, as the storm begins to
lash the east coast of Florida. Click
here for high resolution version, which is a large file. Please credit
“NOAA.”)
A hurricane
warning remains in effect for the east coast of Florida from Florida City
northward to Flagler Beach, including Lake Okeechobee. A hurricane warning
also remains in effect for the northwestern Bahamas.
A
hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within
the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion. (Click NOAA close-up
satellite image for larger view of Hurricane Frances taken at 7:49 a.m.
EDT on Sept. 4, 2004, as the large storm moved closer to the Florida east
coast. Click here for high
resolution version, which is a large file. Please credit “NOAA.”)
A tropical storm warning remains in effect from north of Flagler Beach
to Altamaha Sound. A hurricane watch remains in effect from north of Flagler
Beach to Fernandina Beach.
A
tropical storm warning remains in effect for the Florida peninsula on
the west coast from Anna Maria Island around the southern end of the peninsula
to just south of Florida City on the southeast coast and for the middle
and upper Keys from south of Florida
City to the Seven Mile Bridge and for Florida Bay. A tropical storm watch
remains in effect for the Florida west coast to just north of Anna Maria
Island to St. Marks. (Click NOAA satellite image for larger view
of Hurricane Frances and Tropical Storm Ivan taken at 2:45 p.m. EDT on
Sept. 4, 2004, as both storms churn in the Atlantic. Click
here for high resolution version, which is a large file. Please credit
“NOAA.”)
NOAA is dedicated to enhancing economic security and national safety through
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providing environmental stewardship of the nation’s coastal and marine
resources. NOAA is part of the U.S.
Department of Commerce.
Relevant
Web Sites
NOAA
National Hurricane Center
Get the latest advisories here
NOAA
Hurricane Frances Archived Images from the NOAA Visualization Lab
NOAA
Satellite Services Division — Latest Images
NOAA 3-D Satellite Images
NOAA Enhanced Satellite
Images
NOAA Atlantic Hurricanes
Database — 150 Years of Atlantic Hurricanes
Above-normal
2004 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane
Scale
NOAA Flood Products
NOAA
Inland Flooding Information
Significant
River Flood Outlook
NOAA Rainfall Graphics
24-hour
Observed Precipitation as of 8 a.m. today
Latest
rainfall data as of 8 a.m. EDT today
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NOAA
Tides Online
NOAA Satellite Images The
latest satellite views
Colorized Satellite Images
NOAA Hurricanes Page
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Get the latest severe weather information across the USA
Media
Contact:
Frank Lepore, NOAA
Hurricane Center, (305) 229-4404
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