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The question we’ll know the answer to on Election Day, other than who wins, is whether campaigns matter anymore. Above and beyond the drama of 2016, Hillary Clinton has run a traditional, and by all accounts, solid campaign. For starters, she actually has a campaign, with staffers working in a giant office in Brooklyn, who are also now fanned out in hundreds of field offices across the country.
The Clinton campaign has opened 489 of those offices. They have raised $497 million dollars. She is on track to spend 53 times Trump’s total in Florida ads alone.
When I dropped by a Hillary Clinton field office in Charlotte, N.C., just as early voting was getting underway, there were so many staff and volunteers that training for the ones canvassing spilled out onto the front porch.
Compare that to Donald Trump’s operation, which is hardly an operation at all. Trump’s campaign office in Trump Tower has served mostly as storage for his campaign signs. He has raised $247 million and didn’t spend one dollar on general election ads until late August. He is on his third campaign manager.
Instead of a robust field operation, Trump has relied on the RNC, which has opened 207 offices. When I went to one in Charlotte, it was empty, except for one World War II vet learning to use the phones.
Despite the lopsided campaigns, Trump is within a point or two of Clinton in national polls and splitting battleground states with her, too.
The conclusion after every close race since 2000 has been that “campaigns matter.” If Donald Trump wins, one conclusion has to be that campaigns as we knew them just don’t matter anymore.
Roll Call columnist Patricia Murphy covers national politics for The Daily Beast. Previously, she was the Capitol Hill bureau chief for Politics Daily and founder and editor of Citizen Jane Politics. Follow her on Twitter @1PatriciaMurphy.
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After the presidential election of 2012, the Republican Party had a plan. Mitt Romney won over a majority of white voters, but failed miserably at attracting the diverse electorate that increasingly is America. GOP would have to stand for something other than Grand Old Party. The Growth and Opportunity Project was born, with one goal being outreach.
As then Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal said in stark terms at the Republican National Committee winter meeting in Charlotte, N.C., in January 2013: “We must reject the notion that demography is destiny, the pathetic and simplistic notion that skin pigmentation dictates voter behavior. … The first step in getting voters to like you is to demonstrate that you like them.”
The goals were lofty and judged doable, with Mississippi national committeeman Henry Barbour saying the message should be “the opportunity for people to aspire to reach their dreams whatever that may be.” He touted New Mexico Gov. Susana Martinez as the party’s future: “She’s smart; she’s not afraid.”
What happened in 2016? The short answer: Donald Trump. From the start of his campaign, the rule-breaker’s rhetoric has angered Hispanics, Muslims, African-Americans, women, the disabled and others. And Governor Martinez? Before an eventual truce, Trump criticized her in a visit to her home state, saying she’s “not doing the job.”
His campaign behavior has been the loud embodiment of Republican leadership’s missteps, reaching back to a deliberate Southern strategy in the 1960′s, appealing to opponents of civil rights progress.
Win or lose, to find success in the future, both parties will have to take part in a sincere, inclusive conversation. While Hillary Clinton and Democrats have their own challenges maintaining and strengthening the Obama coalition, Republicans have to repair divisions exacerbated by the “birther in chief.”
Time to rip up that Growth and Opportunity Project report and start from scratch.
Roll Call columnist Mary C. Curtis has worked at The New York Times, The Baltimore Sun and The Charlotte Observer. Follow her on Twitter @mcurtisnc3.
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Throughout this presidential campaign, more than any other in memory, the concept of America has been the subject of our political debate.
Is our system so paralyzed that it needs radical transformation? Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump offered that in ways that should remind us our politics are well within the boundaries of the global political spectrum.
Sanders promised to tear down our power structure and remake it in a more socialist image, pledging to put a restrictor plate on our great capitalist engine and sharing more evenly in the spoils it produces. He favored economic fairness over growth.
Though Trump has appealed to many white working- and middle-class voters who feel that they have lost economic, social and political power, particularly to minorities, his approach of purging minorities speaks much more to social anxiety and prejudice than any real promise of economic empowerment for his voters. His tax plans, more than anything, would redistribute money up the economic chain.
But he promises, in the subtext of his platform, to remake America in the image of a more authoritarian and homogeneous nationalist state. For lack of a more precise term, his appeal is in the idea of a neo-fascist America, which explains why white supremacists have felt so comfortable waving their flags in his honor.
Voters are rightly angry about the establishment’s inability to act in the expressed interests of the people. And yet, on the political right and the political left, they are angry about different things.
Tuesday night (hopefully), we will find out if Trump’s brand of change — of an America remade by a man who promises he “alone” can fix the country — is stronger than Hillary Clinton’s promise to include everyone in making more incremental alterations to our unique and adaptable capitalist republic.
I suspect Americans will choose again to strive for a more perfect union rather than a new national construct.
Roll Call columnist Jonathan Allen is co-author of the New York Times-bestselling Clinton biography “HRC” and has covered Congress, the White House and elections over the past 15 years.
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A scene from a childhood comic book has lodged itself in my brain. A cosmic trickster from another dimension — who was a longtime nemesis of Superman — got elected Mayor of Metropolis by using his otherworldly powers to force the hands of all voters to slip as they were pulling the lever for another candidate.
That’s my Nov. 8 fantasy. That millions of voters — no matter how exasperated with Hillary Clinton — physically cannot force themselves to tick a box marked Donald Trump. Their hands would rebel at the thought of the bilious billionaire giving orders to the Joint Chiefs of Staff, plotting revenge via the IRS and welcoming Girl Scout troops to the White House.
In reality, this will be an election far closer than it should have been because we as a nation have normalized Donald Trump. He has broken so many norms of democracy from bothering to learn the issues to releasing his taxes. His threats against the press make Richard Nixon and Spiro Agnew look stalwart protectors of the First Amendment. We have become so numbed by Trump outrages that he seems statesmanlike any day he obediently reads other people’s words off a Teleprompter.
On election night, I will be looking for lasting signs of rebellion by never-Trump Republicans. If it occurs, it will be in places like Ohio’s Delaware County, the affluent suburbs of Columbus where Mitt Romney received 61 percent of the 2012 vote. Or in Chester and Bucks counties, outside Philadelphia, where Romney ran roughly even with Barack Obama. And it would be glorious if Trump somehow limped home third in deep-red Utah behind Clinton and GOP protest candidate Evan McMullin.
Regardless of the final numbers, the dominant story of 2016 will be how close a wacko former reality show host came to acquiring nuclear weapons.
Roll Call columnist Walter Shapiro is a veteran of Politics Daily, USA Today, Time, Newsweek and the Washington Post. His book on his con-man great-uncle was just published: “Hustling Hitler: The Jewish Vaudevillian Who Fooled the Fuhrer.” Follow him on Twitter @MrWalterShapiro.
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