In Case You Missed It…

Thursday June 23, 2005

The Miami Herald June 23, 2005 Thursday FL EDITION A; Pg. 28 Few benefits to Climate Act The Herald's June 13 editorial, Approve the Climate Stewardship Act, doesn't address the lack of a scientific consensus on the cause of global warming and ignores the impact that such legislation would have on Floridians. According to a recent study from Charles River Associates, Florida's agriculture sector would suffer increases in fuel and fertilizer costs, and production would decline 1.6 percent to 3.4 percent. Production from energy-intensive sectors will decrease by 3.4 percent to 7.5 percent, and the service sector would lose 0.7-1.8 percent of its production in 2020. The same study estimates that Florida would lose 2,400 and 17,200 jobs in 2010 and 2020 respectively, and anticipated tightening of caps will result in even greater numbers. Perhaps the most disheartening statistic shows that the poorest 20 percent of households with annual incomes of $14,600 or less will bear a 64-percent larger burden from energy-cost increases than the highest income households. The elderly will face a burden 14 percent greater than the population under 65. All in the name of averting about .029-degrees Celsius in temperature by 2050 -- if one assumes climate alarmists are correct. Are Floridians willing to accept those astonishing costs in return for virtually no benefit? SEN. JAMES M. INHOFE, chairman, Environment and Public Works Committee, U.S. Senate, Washington, D.C.
June 21 Senate Floor Highlights Inhofe on the Negative Impact of McCain-Lieberman: Ø “It has been stated by one of the proponents of the McCain-Lieberman bill that there are modest costs involved. I will look at the impact. This is the CRA International analysis--not of S. 139 as it was before but as it has been pared down and supposedly will have less economic impact. They said that enacting McCain-Lieberman will cost the economy $507 billion in year 2020. Enacting McCain-Lieberman would mean a loss of 840,000 U.S. jobs in 2010. It will result in 1.306 million jobs in 2020. That is not just a domino effect. Enacting McCain-Lieberman would cost the average U.S. household up to $810 in 2020. The figure used before was $2,700 for the average family of four.” Inhofe on the “Hockey Stick” and Medieval Warming Period: Ø “The Senator from California brought up the hockey stick theory. I believe that deserves more time than we will have tonight. I plan on talking about this tomorrow because when Michael Mann came up with the whole hockey stick theory, he talked about projecting the temperatures over the period of time, until the 20th century came along, and then they went up and off the charts. What he neglected to say, I say to my friend from Connecticut, is that there was another blade to this hockey stick, and that was the blade there during the medieval warming period. It is pretty well established now that the temperatures during the medieval warming period were actually higher than they were during this century--the current blade he talks about. That is significant.” Inhofe on the Scientific Uncertainties Ø “…I will say that when it is referred to that the Senator from Oklahoma will come up with some ‘obscure’ scientist who might disagree, you are right, he will, because there are a lot of them out there who are pretty well educated. The Oregon Petition was made up of 17,800 scientists. I will quote from their report. They said: ‘There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gases is causing, or will in the foreseeable future cause, catastrophic heating of the earth's atmosphere and disruption of the earth's climate. Moreover, there is substantial scientific evidence that increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide produce many beneficial effects upon the natural plant and animal environments of the earth.’ … I think we are going to have an opportunity--at least I will--to talk about many of the other scientists. At least we have to come to the conclusion that there are uncertainties out there. I think the people who try to say the science is settled believe that if they keep saying the same thing over and over again, people will believe it.”
This week, as the U.S. Senate debates carbon tax amendments to the Energy Bill, senators should take note of Europe’s failure to meet reductions agreed to in the Kyoto Protocol. The Guardian (UK) reported Saturday that only three countries have “any hope” of meeting targets and most countries are “falling well behind,” and that only two countries have cut greenhouse gases. Ironically, a European commission spokeswoman blamed a harsh winter for the increases. “It was very cold across Europe. The number of days that people needed to heat their homes was much higher.” And today, that failure was reaffirmed in yet another report. EU Energy Commissioner Andris Piebalgs stated in a Tagesspiegel interview that “Our energy mix is not optimal for Kyoto.” Estimates indicate that Europe is on track to miss its Kyoto commitment of 8% below 1990 by up to 7.4%. In other words, the EU is on a pace to reduce emissions by only about 0.6%. Fact:The failure of the European Union to meet targets under Kyoto further demonstrates the lack of will or ability by those claiming to be the biggest supporters of reducing greenhouse gasses. Catherine Pearce, global climate change spokeswoman for Friends of the Earth, is correct to ask: “If Britain and the rest of Europe cannot get it right, then how can anyone expect the US or developing countries to?” (John Vidal, “Europe fails to cut greenhouse gas emissions,” The Guardian, 6/18/2005) Even British Prime Minister Tony Blair doesn’t “believe the way to tackle global warming is by introducing policies that will undermine our prosperity or economic growth.” (Prime Minister Tony Blair, Channel Four interview, 4/25/2005) A carbon tax will result in a grave setback for the American economy – to say nothing of the impact it would have on American families specifically who must rely on stable energy prices to heat, cool and light their homes. Consider the costs associated with proposed amendments to the Energy Bill -- The McCain-Lieberman amendment, according a recent Charles River Associates (CRA) study, would: - cost more than one million American jobs over the next 15 years, - impose an additional cost of $810 dollars a year on households, - increase already high gasoline prices by 55 cents a gallon, - increase electricity prices 20% by 2020, - increase the cost of natural gas by 47%, and - avert only 0.029ºC in temperature – assuming climate alarmists are correct about causation. The Bingaman amendment would cost taxpayers $27 billion annually according to CRA. A new Competitive Enterprise Institute analysis projects that the Bingaman (NCEP cap-and-trade) amendment would: - reduce cumulative U.S. GDP by $588 billion from 2010 to 2025, - result in the loss of 171,000 non-farm jobs in 2025, and - result in virtually no benefit to justify such costs – the aversion of 0.008oC in temperature by 2050 (again, assuming climate alarmists are correct).

WEEKLY CLOSER

Friday June 17, 2005

From the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee Majority Press Office Volume 1, Number 2 Quote of the Week… “But there is yet one more Senate bill — the Ratepayers Protection Act of 2005 — that would address global warming hysteria as the quintessential junk science phenomenon it is.” Steve Milloy FoxNews.com June 17, 2005 Highway Bill Discussions Continue This week the conference committee continued negotiations on the Safe Accountable, Flexible, and Efficient Transportation Equity Act (SAFETEA). The transportation legislation is important because it serves an economic development issue for our neighborhoods, communities and the nation. A safe, effective transportation system is the foundation of a growing economy. According to Department of Transportation (DOT) estimates, every $1 billion of Federal funds invested in highway improvements creates 47,000 jobs. The same $1 billion investment yields $500 million in new orders for the manufacturing sector and $500 million spread throughout other sectors of the economy. Unfortunately, there are serious consequences if Congress further delays the process. State contract awards for the 2005 spring and summer construction season are going out to bid. If Congress fails to pass a bill soon, states will not know what to expect in federal funding and the uncertainty will potentially force states to delay putting these projects out to bid. According to a study done by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials, an estimated 90,000 jobs are at stake nationwide. This problem is even more serious for northern-tier states that have shorter construction seasons. In many states, transportation departments have advanced state dollars to construct projects eligible for federal-funding in anticipation of action by Congress to increase those funding levels. Without a new bill, states are holding the bag until Congress acts. In the News… Climate Change and the Energy Bill On Monday, columnist Robert Novak called attention to some important points rarely made in the mainstream media. In discussing the debate on climate change, specifically implementation of the flawed Kyoto Treaty, Novak’s White House source correctly asserts that “Kyoto was never about environmental policy … . It was designed as an elaborate, predatory trade strategy to level the American and European economies.” Consider, as Novak also does, Margot Wallstrom, the Swedish vice president of the European Commission, who said the Kyoto Protocol was “not a simple environmental issue . . . this is about international relations, this is about economy – about trying to create a level playing field.” Aside from leveling the “playing field,” mandatory caps on carbon would level the U.S. economy – and provide virtually no benefit. Research has shown that implementing Kyoto and other carbon cap policies would actually have very little effect on reducing temperatures. Assuming climate change alarmists are correct, we would only avoid .008o (Bingaman) -.029o C (McCain-Lieberman) in temperature by 2050. But the costs for implementing such policies are astounding. The National Black Chamber of Commerce and several other groups that oppose McCain-Lieberman cited a study revealing 1,306,000 jobs would be lost by 2020 under the measure. According to the same study, Senator Bingaman’s plan, which is modeled on the National Commission on Energy Policy (NCEP) recommendation, would cost $27 billion a year “with emission reductions results barely different from current baseline emissions.” The study also reveals that the NCEP proposal would result in smaller emissions reductions than the President’s ongoing voluntary program. There is no justification. Americans deserve better than legislation prompted by emotional rhetoric that delivers nothing but great expense. Today in his FoxNews.com column, Junk Science’s Steve Milloy applauded Senate Inhofe’s legislation to prevent costs associated with climate alarmism from being transferred to energy consumers, writing “…the Ratepayers Protection Act, introduced by Sen. James Inhofe, R-Okla., would ensure that the costs associated with voluntary actions taken by utilities under the guise of global warming are not passed on to consumers. ‘As the need for those reductions is not grounded in science, it is important that those costs are not passed on to electricity consumers,’ stated the bill's media release. Sen. Inhofe's bill would rightly make utility shareholders, not consumers, responsible for footing the bill of corporate management folly concerning global warming. While it's not likely that companies looking to profit from global warming alarmism will support the Ratepayer Protection Act, the rest of us should rally behind Sen. Inhofe rather than bear the costs of all this hot air scheming.” Read the Majority Press Fact of the Day about the McCain-Lieberman and Bingaman amendments to the Energy Bill. Clear Skies Update As the Democrats’ clean air litigation strategy failed once again this week, the need for President Bush’s Clear Skies legislation continues to prove to be the better way for improving the nation’s air quality. The court this week, presided over by a Clinton appointed judge, rejected a Clinton-era Clean Air Act enforcement case against Duke Energy Corp. At a heavy cost to tax payers, these failed law suits do nothing to improve air quality. Clear Skies legislation provides a better approach for future emissions reductions through a cap-and-trade program and not by filing lawsuits against a handful of companies. Clear Skies will bring the majority of U.S. counties into compliance with the strict new health-based air quality standards implemented last year by the Bush Administration. In Case You Missed It… USA Today, Opposing View Wednesday, June 15, 2005 Evidence is underwhelming By James M. Inhofe Despite the lack of a scientific consensus to warrant such measures, climate change alarmists — in the heat of the summer for the scariest effect — are promoting mandatory caps on carbon dioxide emissions in the USA. It's a classic case of "ready, fire, aim." Until recently, the foundation of climate change alarmism has been the so-called hockey stick graph. The graph, constructed by Dr. Michael Mann, a professor at the University of Virginia, and shaped like a hockey stick, purports to show a link between rising temperatures and human activity. Recent Canadian research discredited the graph because of its errors and improper methodologies. An Environment Canada statistician agreed Mann's method "preferentially produces hockey sticks when there are none in the data." Dr. Hans von Storch, a contributor to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, called it "rubbish" methodologically, and Dr. Rob van Dorland, an IPCC lead author, said the IPCC "made a mistake by only including Mann's reconstruction and not those of other researchers." In spite of this, some still seek to solve a problem even before it has been established one exists. Two Senate bills would, like the Kyoto Protocol, cap carbon dioxide emissions. Wharton Econometrics Forecasting Associates estimates that the costs of implementing Kyoto would cost an American family of four $2,700 annually. Two international leaders once described Kyoto's intent. Margot Wallstrom, the European Union's commissioner on the environment, said Kyoto is "about leveling the playing field for big businesses worldwide," and French President Jacques Chirac called it "the first component of an authentic global governance." MIT professor Dr. Richard Lindzen sums up the current state of affairs best: "Science, in the public arena, is commonly used as a source of authority with which to bludgeon political opponents and propagandize uninformed citizens. ... A fairer view of the science will show that there is still a vast amount of uncertainty — far more than advocates of Kyoto would like to acknowledge." Based on that uncertainty, our constituents hardly need "global governance," but they do deserve responsible governance at home. Sen. James M. Inhofe, R-Okla., chairs the Environment and Public Works Committee. _________________ Bill Holbrook, Communications Director Matt Dempsey, Deputy Press Secretary
Media supporters of a carbon tax wrote of a new found “momentum” for climate change amendments in the weeks leading up to the Energy Bill debate. “Senate warming to idea of need to cut emissions,” wrote the editors at the Palm Beach Post. The Dallas Morning News stated, “Some time in the next couple of weeks, as the U.S. Senate hammers out an energy bill, its members are expected to endorse the first national legislation to curb emissions of greenhouse gases.” The Christian Science Monitor reported, “Momentum is gaining for floor votes this week or next on measures to curb the carbon emissions.” The New York Times said, “There is speculation that a less ambitious but also less costly bill sponsored by Jeff Bingaman, Democrat of New Mexico, and modeled after proposals from the bipartisan National Commission on Energy Policy, could win a filibuster-proof 60 votes.” Fact: And simple speculation it appears to be. This alleged “momentum” of climate change legislation either never existed or is rapidly grinding to a halt. One needs to look no farther than the internal revolt taking shape within the environmental special interest community: “Outlook Dim for Climate Change Action as Energy Bill Nears Senate Floor” writes Bush Green Watch, the website funded by Moveon.org. The McCain-Lieberman amendment, having suffered defeat twice previously in the Senate, is under assault by its once strident supporters in the environmental special interest community: In disgust, Greenpeace issued a press release stating McCain-Liberman “has simply become a corporate handout to the nuclear power industry.” Legislative Director of U.S PIRG Anna Aurillo says, “We like the original version of McCain-Lieberman, not the Chuckie , evil version.” Liberal special interests united against including the Sierra Club, U.S. PIRG, Public Citizen, Friends of the Earth, Clean Water Action signed a letter to every member of congress opposing McCain-Lieberman. The Bingaman amendment also suffers from barrage of criticism: Dan Lashof, science director for the Natural Resources Defense Council’s Climate Center says, “This trading scheme is watered down to the point where it is basically ineffectual in getting us on the path,” adding “If the Hagel provision is a fig leaf for the climate problem, this is basically a banana leaf.” Senator McCain agreed in part saying anything less than McCain-Lieberman “is a fig leaf, is a joke,” and nothing but a “hoax.” A new report from the Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI), the Bingaman (NCEP cap-and-trade) amendment would only reduce temperatures by 0.008oC in temperature by 2050 (assuming climate alarmists are correct). While there are apparent divisions within the liberal environmental special interest community over which amendment to support, one fact is clear: both amendments provide virtually no benefit at astonishing costs to American families and businesses. The McCain-Lieberman amendment, according to the most recent Charles River Associates (CRA) study, would: cost more than one million American jobs over the next 15 years, impose an additional cost of $810 dollars a year on households, increase already high gasoline prices by 55 cents a gallon, increase electricity prices 20% by 2020, increase the cost of natural gas by 47%, and result in the aversion of 0.029ºC in temperature – assuming climate alarmists are correct about causation. According to the new report from CEI, the Bingaman (NCEP cap-and-trade) amendment would: reduce cumulative U.S. GDP by $588 billion from 2010 to 2025, result in the loss of 171,000 non-farm jobs in 2025, and result in virtually no benefit to justify such costs – the aversion of 0.008oC in temperature by 2050.

Climate Change and the Energy Bill

Wednesday June 15, 2005

The only real “consensus” in the global warming debate appears to be on the disdain for climate change legislation pending in the U.S. Senate. With the McCain-Lieberman carbon cap amendment continuing to lose support – Environment & Energy Daily reports today another three Democrat senators are defecting and will vote against the amendment – some attention has shifted to Senator Bingaman’s proposed amendment. But this amendment, too, which also caps carbon dioxide, faces strong opposition from liberal special interest groups. Dan Lashof, science director for the Natural Resources Defense Council's Climate Center says, “This trading scheme is watered down to the point where it is basically ineffectual in getting us on the path,” and “If the Hagel provision is a fig leaf for the climate problem, this (Bingaman provision) is basically a banana leaf.” Fact: Passage of a carbon tax amendment will undoubtedly cripple the American economy, and, at the same time, provide virtually no benefit. The McCain-Lieberman amendment, according to the most recent Charles River Associates (CRA) study, would: cost more than one million American jobs over the next 15 years, impose an additional cost of $810 dollars a year on households, increase already high gasoline prices by 55 cents a gallon, increase electricity prices 20% by 2020, and increase the cost of natural gas by 47%. At such a great expense to the American people, the McCain-Lieberman amendment would only result in the aversion of 0.029ºC in temperature – assuming climate alarmists are correct about causation. The Bingaman amendment, which environmentalists admit would have little or no difference in emission reductions, would cost taxpayers $27 billion annually. Paul Bledsoe, communications director for the non-governmental National Commission on Energy Policy (NCEP), which forms the basis of the provisions contained in the Bingaman amendment, says, “My concern is that it can be portrayed as a carbon tax – anathema to the GOP.” Bledsoe further states the amendment is more about passing something and less about reducing emissions: “Our view is that the more important thing is timing – to attach a price to carbon emissions as soon as possible.” United for Jobs points out that the recent CRA study reveals that the full NCEP proposal would actually yield smaller emissions reductions than President Bush’s voluntary programs. According to a new report from the Competitive Enterprise Institute, the Bingaman (NCEP cap-and-trade) amendment would: reduce cumulative U.S. GDP by $588 billion from 2010 to 2025, result in the loss of 171,000 non-farm jobs in 2025, and result in virtually no benefit to justify such costs – the aversion of 0.008oC in temperature by 2050 (again, assuming climate alarmists are correct).

Advancing Nuclear Power: Safety

Tuesday June 14, 2005

Even as many in the liberal environmental special interests now concede to the benefits of nuclear energy, some environmental activists and Democrat members of Congress refuse to consider the benefits of today’s nuclear technology. Greenpeace co-founder Patrick Moore, testifying before a U.S. congressional committee, recently put it like this, “I believe the majority of environmental activists, including those at Greenpeace, have now become so blinded by their extremist policies that they fail to consider the enormous and obvious benefits of harnessing nuclear power to meet and secure America’s growing energy needs.” Fact: The nuclear industry is one of the safest. The Chernobyl accident in 1986 was the product of a severely flawed reactor design – one that never could have been licensed in the United States – and serious mistakes made by the plant operators, who violated procedures intended to ensure safe operation of the plant. Unlike the nuclear power plant at Chernobyl, U.S. power plants have incorporated containment structures built over the reactor in addition to relying on a completely different, safer design. Though no new plants have been built in the United States since 1979, the efficiency of existing plants in the country has dramatically increased over the past 30 years. Plants in the United States run at an average of 91% capacity. Because of increased efficiency, nuclear plants’ share of U.S. electricity generation has risen to nearly 20% in 2004 from 4.5% in 1973. By operating more efficiently, our nation’s nuclear power plants have added the equivalent of 25 1000-megawatt power plants to our national electricity grid. U.S. improvements have incorporated a “defense in depth” philosophy that requires redundant, diverse, reliable safety systems. Two or more safety systems perform key functions independently, such that, if one fails, there is always another to back it up, providing continuous protection. In addition, the Institute of Nuclear Power Operations (INPO) maintains a comprehensive system of training and qualification for all key positions at nuclear power plants. Workers involved in operations, maintenance, and other technical areas undergo periodic training and assessment. As a result of these and many other safety and security upgrades in the nuclear industry over the past 30 years, public support for nuclear power appears to be growing. As of 2004, two out of three Americans agreed that more nuclear power plants should be built here at home. It is no surprise that there are three nuclear plants under construction in Japan and nine in India. China intends to build 27 nuclear plants by 2020. Finland will begin construction on one later this year, and France plans to begin building another one in 2007.

Securing Nuclear Power Plants

Monday June 13, 2005

Relying on rhetoric and distortion of fact, anti-nuclear energy activists lobbied Time magazine to their cause this week. The Time article, which prominently featured political special interests from the Union of Concerned Scientists to the Committee to Bridge the Gap – groups well-known for opposing any expansion or use of nuclear energy, paints a dim, but inaccurate picture of the plants’ current state of security. Fact: Security at these facilities is as robust as any industrial structure in the world and is the model for infrastructure security. Further enhancements can be made by providing additional authorities to the NRC, and provisions in legislation offered by Senators Inhofe and Voinovich that was recently reported out of the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee by unanimous consent would accomplish that mission. The Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) is ensuring the security profile at facilities meets potential threats. In fact, the NRC has been seeking additional authorities for security for several years –authorities that can only be granted through legislation and have stalled with the Energy Bill. Virtually every member of Congress who was interviewed by Time is known to be an opponent of nuclear energy and opposed the bill. Time failed to speak with members who embrace the future of nuclear energy for all its benefits and have authored legislation to improve nuclear power plant security with an eye toward that future. Since 9/11, well over $1 billion has been spent to upgrade security at nuclear power plants – an enormous figure when one considers the extraordinary security that already existed prior to 9/11 and the fact this money is being spent at on 64 sites. By comparison, $20 billion has been spent to cover security at more than 18,000 airports nationwide, including 540 commercial service airports and more than 7,800 commercial planes. Environmental special interests who oppose nuclear power are using security as their latest red herring in opposing this energy source. Overnight, environmental groups became experts in national security and the press has too often come to rely on that “expertise.” Under the guise of trying to make America’s nuclear power plants safer, anti-nuclear energy groups are attempting to scare American’s into abandoning any use of nuclear energy. Time’s report also relies on commentary from individuals who are not security experts, and because of its sensitive nature, either would not be privy to or be able provide information that would paint an honest picture. Certainly more can and should be done to secure America’s nuclear power plants, but Americans should be comforted that with decades of innovation and technological advances already behind us, safe, clean nuclear power can and will be an important component of a sound energy policy that will enhance our energy security and reduce pollution. S. 864, The Nuclear Security Act of 2005, accomplishes the following: Ø Authorizes the NRC to allow security guards to possess more powerful weapons (machineguns, semiautomatic, assault weapons, etc.) when they are engaged in the protection of NRC-licensed or NRC-certified facilities. The purpose is to provide licensees and certificate holders, their employees and contractors the ability to possess the weapons they need to effectively protect facilities, equipment, and radioactive materials. Ø Amends current law requiring that NRC conduct security evaluations at each licensed facility at least once every three years. The security evaluations must include force-on-force exercises that simulate security threats, to the maximum extent possible, in accordance with the applicable design basis threat. This provision requires the NRC to initiate a rulemaking to revise the design basis threat (DBT) within 90 days of enactment of this section. It is to be completed 18 months after that date. NRC is also required to address any potential conflict of interest that may influence the results of the exercise. Ø Expands requirement for fingerprinting for criminal history record checks. Those required for fingerprinting include any individual permitted unescorted access to a utilization facility, access to safeguards information, or permitted unescorted access to radioactive material or other property subject to NRC regulation that the Commission determines to be of significance to the common defense or public health and safety. Ø Prohibits a person who has not obtained prior authorization from carrying, transporting, or otherwise introducing or causing to be introduced any weapon, explosive, or other dangerous instrumentality into any facility, installation, or real property regulated or subject to certification by the Commission. Ø Expands existing federal criminal sanctions for sabotage or attempted sabotage of production or utilization facilities during the construction stage of those facilities, if the damage could affect public health and safety during facility operation. Ø Requires the NRC to issue regulations to control the international import and export of radiation sources in accordance with the International Atomic Energy Agency’s (IAEA) Code of Conduct for Category 1 and 2 sources. NRC is also required to issue regulations to develop a domestic tracking system for discrete radiation sources and any other radioactive material that the NRC determines warrants protection in the United States.

WEEKLY CLOSER

Friday June 10, 2005

Senate and House Conferees Begin Work on Highway Bill Completion Sen. James Inhofe (R-Okla.), Chairman of the Environment & Public Works Committee and Vice Chairman of the Safe Accountable, Flexible, and Efficient Transportation Equity Act (SAFETEA) conference committee, marked the beginning of the conference committee’s work with opening remarks yesterday: “We only have 20 days left until the current extension expires – I want to encourage those who are working with the White House on the overall number to continue their work. The Safe, Accountable, Flexible, and Efficient Transportation Equity Act of 2005 or ‘SAFETEA,’ as passed by the Senate last month contains a higher level of funding than that proposed by the House or that requested by the White House. As one of the most fiscally conservative members of Congress, I can tell you that I have no hesitation to endorse what Senators Chuck Grassley and Max Baucus produced.” The Senate version of the legislation will provide $295 billion to address the nation's surface transportation needs over the next 5 years. Business Meeting: Wednesday, June 8, 2005 The following legislation was approved in Wednesday’s mark-up: - H.R. 483, to designate a United States courthouse in Brownsville, Texas, as the "Reynaldo G. Garza and Filemon B. Vela United States Courthouse" - S. 260, Partners for Fish and Wildlife Program - S. 864, Nuclear Security - S. 865, Price Anderson - S. 858, NRC Fees/Reform Bill - S. 1017, to reauthorize grants for the water resources research and technology institutes established under the Water Resources Research Act of 1984 - S. 1140, to designate the State Route 1 Bridge in the State of Delaware as the ‘Senator William V. Roth, Jr. Bridge’. Resolutions: - To authorize alteration of the James L. King Federal Justice Building in Miami, Florida - To authorize a lease prospectus for the General Services Administration headquarters Protecting Americans From Higher Energy Costs Associated With Reducing Carbon Emissions Senator Inhofe introduced legislation Wednesday that will protect disadvantaged individuals from the costs inherent in reducing carbon dioxide emissions from utilities. Disadvantaged Americans rely on stable and affordable energy prices to heat, cool and light their homes, and research that has shown that these individuals are negatively impacted by energy rate increases due to climate change-related expenses. The Ratepayers Protection Act of 2005 prevents those costs from being passed down to energy consumers. Political Science A number of politically-charged statements regarding climate change accompanied the arrival of British Prime Minister Tony Blair in Washington this week. The media was quick to point out the differences between President Bush and Prime Minister Blair on the topic, but failed to report on the strong partnerships the two have forged to address the issue despite the differences in approach. The joint science academies statement on global climate change response clearly served a political more than a scientific purpose – released the very morning of Prime Minister Blair’s arrival in a weak and obvious attempt to leverage President Bush. Senator James M. Inhofe, chairman of the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee, dismissed the statement: “There is nothing new in this statement. It touts a 4-year-old Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC] report that has been roundly criticized and dismissed by a number of climate experts, and then essentially endorses the variety of actions the Bush Administration has already been taking.” The IPCC’s Third Assessment Report, published in 2001, relied on the hockey stick graph, recently repudiated by a peer-reviewed study that exposed mathematical errors and improper methodologies. The hockey stick was alleged to have shown a relationship between anthropogenic emissions and rising temperatures, and had been the foundation of claims by climate change alarmists. The National Academy of Sciences, in signing the statement, contradicted its own 2001 conclusions that dismissed any scientific consensus on causation, specifically calling attention to the uncertainties in current climate modeling. Blowing the Whistle on the “Whistle-blower” Finally, The New York Times’ Andrew Revkin kept to his schedule and launched another June climate barrage at the Bush Administration, this time suggesting that the Administration has no right to conduct an appropriate interagency review as part of its policymaking process. The allegations were actually presented by Rick Piltz, a disgruntled former career employee at the Climate Change Science Program who began his work under the Clinton Administration and once served as a senior Democrat staff member in the House Science Committee. Mr. Piltz, a political scientist by training – not a climate scientist – according to biographical information available online, apparently disagreed with the Bush Administration’s approach to climate change and upon resigning, sought to make a political statement against it under the guise of a “whistle-blower.” Considering there was no wrongdoing, and that every White House has had – and will have – the obligation to exert authority over its cabinet departments and agencies, Mr. Piltz can hardly claim “whistle-blower” status. Interestingly, the White House “edits” in question cited by The New York Times actually reflect the sense of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) study released in 2001. That report, Climate Change Science: An Analysis of Some Key Questions, reported numerous uncertainties in the science and called for more study: - Revkin, 6/8/05: “The dozens of changes, while sometimes as subtle as the insertion of the phrase ‘significant and fundamental’ before the word ‘uncertainties,’ tend to produce an air of doubt about findings that most climate experts say are robust.” (emphasis added) - NAS, Climate Change Science: An Analysis of Some Key Questions, 2001: “Making progress in reducing the large uncertainties in projections of future climate will require addressing a number of fundamental scientific questions relating to the buildup of greenhouses gases in the atmosphere and the behavior of the climate system.” (Summary, page 5, emphasis added) A Manufactured Consensus Would you believe the Clinton State Department requested that a chapter in an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report be watered down to dismiss scientific uncertainties regarding causation? It happened. In June 1998, Steve Milloy wrote that Dr. Benjamin Santer, atmospheric scientist at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, “admitted to altering Chapter 8 of the most recent UN-IPCC report, deleting phrases that suggested scientific doubts about human influences on climate. According to the journal Nature, the changes were made to make the report conform to the IPCC Policymakers Summary, a political document. Nature editors said that the U.S. State Department had urged the head of the UN science advisory group to prevail upon chapter authors to make such changes. Santer also edited a crucial graph in Chapter 8 (Fig. 8.10) from his original published version, leading readers to believe that human influence is present and increasing with time … .” (http://www.junkscience.com/news2/singer40.htm, emphasis added) Also recall the case of Dr. Benny Peiser, a senior lecturer at Liverpool John Moores University, who conducted a review of 1,000 papers about climate change and concluded that only one third of them supported a “consensus view” on the alleged link between anthropogenic emissions and rising temperatures. Dr. Peiser sought to have his findings published in Science, but was denied. Why? Probably because earlier, Science published a paper, based on the same 1,000 papers, that claimed to have shown a consensus, not only that “global warming” is real, but that human beings are the cause. Exclusions such as this and selective publication of certain hypotheses only undermine sound science and perpetuate a manufactured consensus on climate change causation. Who has really been politicizing the science?

Climate Modeling

Tuesday June 7, 2005

Thousands of climate change studies rely on computer models and are heavily cited by global warming alarmists. The Arctic Council, for example, stated that Arctic warming and the impacts stemming from that warming are firmly established by computer models. “While the models differ in their projections of some of the features of climate change,” the Arctic Council wrote, “they are all in agreement that the world will warm significantly as a result of human activities and that the Arctic is likely to experience noticeable warming particularly early and intensely.” Similarly, the IPCC relied on such models to project a long-term temperature increase ranging from 2.5 to 10.4 degrees Celsius and assorted and potentially dangerous climate changes over the next century. According to Dr. Kenneth Green, Dr. Tim Ball and Dr. Steven Schroeder, “politicians clearly do not realize that the major conclusions of the IPCC’s reports are not based on hard evidence and observation but rather largely upon the output of assumption-driven climate models.” Fact: Attaching probabilities to model results is extremely difficult and rife with uncertainties. In the 2000 edition of Nature, four climate modelers noted that, “A basic problem with all such predictions to date has been the difficulty of providing any systematic estimate of uncertainty.” This problem stems from the fact that “these [climate] models do not necessarily span the full range of known climate system behavior.” According to the National Academy of Sciences, “…without an understanding of the sources and degree of uncertainty, decision-makers could fail to define the best ways to deal with the serious issue of global warming.” This fact should temper the enthusiasm of those who support Kyoto-style regulations that will harm the American economy. Unfortunately, rarely does any scrutiny accompany model simulations. But based on what we know about the physics of climate models, as well as the questionable assumptions built into the models themselves, we should be very skeptical of their results. This is exactly the view of the National Academy of Sciences. According to NAS, “Climate models are imperfect. Their simulation skill is limited by uncertainties in their formulation, the limited size of their calculations, and the difficulty of interpreting their answers that exhibit as much complexity as in nature.” At this point, climate modeling is still a very rudimentary science. As Richard Kerr wrote in Science magazine, “Climate forecasting, after all, is still in its infancy.” Models, while helpful for scientists in understanding the climate system, are far from perfect. According to climatologist Gerald North of Texas A&M University, “It's extremely hard to tell whether the models have improved; the uncertainties are large.” Or as climate modeler Peter Stone of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology put it, “The major [climate prediction] uncertainties have not been reduced at all.” Based on these uncertainties, cloud physicist Robert Charlson, professor emeritus at the University of Washington, Seattle, has concluded: “To make it sound like we understand climate is not right.”