An Inconvenient Debate For ABC News

Thursday August 31, 2006

ABC news reporter Bill Blakemore inserted an outlandish and irresponsible editorial comment in an article yesterday claiming that after extensive research, ABC News was simply unable to find any debate on whether global warming is manmade or caused by natural variability. Blakemore wrote in his story titled Schwarzenator vs. Bush: (After extensive searches, ABC News has found no such debate).

FACT: Climatologists continue to debate the influence of man-made emissions on global warming. No “extensive research” is needed to find this debate. Amazingly, some in the news media prefer simply to exclude the debate, as reported by several other journalists. Yesterday’s Boston Globe column by Alex Beam seems tailor made to respond to the ludicrous claim by Blakemore. Beam writes:

“More curious are our own taboos on the subject of global warming. I sat in a roomful of journalists 10 years ago while Stanford climatologist Stephen Schneider lectured us on a big problem in our profession: soliciting opposing points of view. In the debate over climate change, Schneider said, there simply was no legitimate opposing view to the scientific consensus that man - made carbon emissions drive global warming. To suggest or report otherwise, he said, was irresponsible. Indeed. I attended a week's worth of lectures on global warming at the Chautauqua Institution last month. Al Gore delivered the kickoff lecture, and, 10 years later, he reiterated Schneider's directive. There is no science on the other side, Gore inveighed, more than once. Again, the same message: If you hear tales of doubt, ignore them. They are simply untrue.

I ask you: Are these convincing arguments? And directed at journalists, who are natural questioners and skeptics, of all people? What happens when you are told not to eat the apple, not to read that book, not to date that girl? Your interest is piqued, of course. What am I not supposed to know?”

A sampling of articles climate alarmists (and some ABC reporters) don’t want you to see:

### 

 

 

USA TODAY

GORE ISN'T QUITE AS GREEN AS HE'S LED THE WORLD TO BELIEVE

By Peter Schweizer, research fellow at the Hoover Institution and author of Do As I Say (Not As I Do):Profiles in Liberal Hypocrisy

August 10, 2006

Al Gore has spoken: The world must embrace a "carbon-neutral lifestyle." To do otherwise, he says, will result in a cataclysmic catastrophe. "Humanity is sitting on a ticking time bomb," warns the website for his film, An Inconvenient Truth. "We have just 10 years to avert a major catastrophe that could send our entire planet into a tailspin."

Graciously, Gore tells consumers how to change their lives to curb their carbon-gobbling ways: Switch to compact fluorescent light bulbs, use a clothesline, drive a hybrid, use renewable energy, dramatically cut back on consumption. Better still, responsible global citizens can follow Gore's example, because, as he readily points out in his speeches, he lives a "carbon-neutral lifestyle." But if Al Gore is the world's role model for ecology, the planet is doomed.

For someone who says the sky is falling, he does very little. He says he recycles and drives a hybrid. And he claims he uses renewable energy credits to offset the pollution he produces when using a private jet to promote his film. (In reality, Paramount Classics, the film's distributor, pays this.)

Public records reveal that as Gore lectures Americans on excessive consumption, he and his wife Tipper live in two properties: a 10,000-square-foot, 20-room, eight-bathroom home in Nashville, and a 4,000-square-foot home in Arlington, Va. (He also has a third home in Carthage, Tenn.) For someone rallying the planet to pursue a path of extreme personal sacrifice, Gore requires little from himself.

Then there is the troubling matter of his energy use. In the Washington, D.C., area, utility companies offer wind energy as an alternative to traditional energy. In Nashville, similar programs exist. Utility customers must simply pay a few extra pennies per kilowatt hour, and they can continue living their carbon-neutral lifestyles knowing that they are supporting wind energy. Plenty of businesses and institutions have signed up. Even the Bush administration is using green energy for some federal office buildings, as are thousands of area residents.

But according to public records, there is no evidence that Gore has signed up to use green energy in either of his large residences. When contacted Wednesday, Gore's office confirmed as much but said the Gores were looking into making the switch at both homes. Talk about inconvenient truths.

Gore is not alone. Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean has said, "Global warming is happening, and it threatens our very existence." The DNC website applauds the fact that Gore has "tried to move people to act." Yet, astoundingly, Gore's persuasive powers have failed to convince his own party: The DNC has not signed up to pay an additional two pennies a kilowatt hour to go green. For that matter, neither has the Republican National Committee.

Maybe our very existence isn't threatened.

Gore has held these apocalyptic views about the environment for some time. So why, then, didn't Gore dump his family's large stock holdings in Occidental (Oxy) Petroleum? As executor of his family's trust, over the years Gore has controlled hundreds of thousands of dollars in Oxy stock. Oxy has been mired in controversy over oil drilling in ecologically sensitive areas.

Living carbon-neutral apparently doesn't mean living oil-stock free. Nor does it necessarily mean giving up a mining royalty either.

Humanity might be "sitting on a ticking time bomb," but Gore's home in Carthage is sitting on a zinc mine. Gore receives $20,000 a year in royalties from Pasminco Zinc, which operates a zinc concession on his property. Tennessee has cited the company for adding large quantities of barium, iron and zinc to the nearby Caney Fork River.

The issue here is not simply Gore's hypocrisy; it's a question of credibility. If he genuinely believes the apocalyptic vision he has put forth and calls for radical changes in the way other people live, why hasn't he made any radical change in his life? Giving up the zinc mine or one of his homes is not asking much, given that he wants the rest of us to radically change our lives.

Click here for the full text of the column: http://www.usatoday.com/news/opinion/editorials/2006-08-09-gore-green_x.htm

 

 

 

The Bush Administration’s successful record of reducing our nation’s air pollution is once again being distorted by Senate Democrats. A Democrat United States Senator from Wisconsin is the latest to misrepresent the Administration’s record by attacking the cap-and-trade approach in President Bush’ Clean Air Mercury Rule (CAMR), the nation’s first rule to ever regulate mercury. Not surprising however, the Democrat provided no alternative. The Capital Times reports:

“Feingold's Washington office was unable this morning to provide an alternative to the cap-and-trade program. But a staff member did point to a Senate Environment and Public Works Committee vote in May to restore the quality of the Great Lakes. Feingold co-sponsored the effort, which includes reducing mercury levels in the water.” http://www.madison.com/tct/news/index.php?ntid=93838&ntpid=1.

FACT: Despite continued obstruction by Democrats, the Bush Administration and Republicans in Congress continue to fight for legislation to reduce mercury, protect human-health and clean-up our nation’s environment.

On March 15, 2005 President Bush issued the Clean Air Mercury Rule (CAMR) to permanently reduce mercury emissions from coal-fired power plants by 70 percent from today's levels. CAMR is a historic first step – the first ever regulation of mercury from power plants. With this rule, the United States became the first country in the world to regulate mercury emissions from utilities. When opponents of Bush's regulation attempted to repeal the rule, the Senate voted in support of the President’s market-based approach to reducing mercury pollution on September 13, 2005. If supporters of the roll-back had succeeded, it potentially would have resulted in a return to the requirements to control mercury emissions from utilities in place during the Clinton-era regulations -- none whatsoever.

In the United States Senate, Republicans continue to fight for legislation that would reduce mercury even more than CAMR. Senators Inhofe and Voinovich introduced the Clear Skies Act (blocked in a 9-9 vote in the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee on March 9, 2005), legislation that would have reduced the mercury emissions faster, more efficiently, more cost effectively, and addressed the mercury hotspot issue. The first phase of Clear Skies would have reduced mercury to 34 tons in 2010, while the new regulation only reduces mercury to 38 tons by 2010. In the second phase Clear Skies would have reached the regulation’s target of 15 tons two years earlier...in 2016.

Republicans are committed to reducing mercury emissions 70% nationwide. The question remains however, will Democrats put aside partisan politics and join Republicans to provide the American public with another environmental victory?

 

The August 3 New York Times op-ed by Bob Herbert titled “Hot Enough Yet,” makes several dubious global warming claims. See: http://select.nytimes.com/2006/08/03/opinion/03herbert.html?hp Herbert promotes the idea that the recent heat wave that has swept across the United States is another example of human caused catastrophic global warming. But the facts do not support this latest example of climate hysteria.

Claim: Herbert implies that the recent heat wave hitting the eastern United States is somehow evidence of global warming.

Fact: The recent heat wave hitting Mid-Atlantic States is nowhere close to breaking record temperatures set in 1930 – nearly 60 years before fears of human cased catastrophic global warming began. "That summer has never been approached, and it's not going to be approached this year," said the state of Virginia’s climatologist Patrick Michaels. See: http://www.cnsnews.com/ViewNation.asp?Page=/Nation/archive/200608/NAT20060804c.html

In addition, even climate alarmist, NASA scientist James Hansen, rebuffs any attempts to tie any single weather event to global warming. "I am a little concerned about this, in the sense that we are still at a point where the natural fluctuations of climate are still large -- at least, the natural fluctuations of weather compared to long-term climate change," Hansen, director of the agency's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, told reporters in April 2006.

Claim: Herbert wrote: “We should keep in mind, as Al Gore has pointed out, that of the 21 hottest years ever measured, 20 have occurred within the last 25 years. And the hottest year of this recent hottest wave was last year.”

Fact: According to official temperature records of the Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia in the UK, the global average temperature did not increase between 1998-2005. “…this eight-year period of temperature stasis did coincide with society's continued power station and SUV-inspired pumping of yet more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere,” noted paleoclimate researcher and geologist Bob Carter of James Cook University in Australia in an April 2006 article titled, “There is a problem with global warming... it stopped in 1998.” See: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/main.jhtml?xml=/opinion/2006/04/09/do0907.xml&sSheet=/news/2006/04/09/ixworld.html

Claim: Herbert wrote: “But with polar bears drowning because they can’t swim far enough to make it from one ice floe to another…”

Fact: Polar Bears are not going extinct because of the supposedly melting ice, according to a biologist Dr. Mitchell Taylor from the arctic government of Nunavut. “Of the 13 populations of polar bears in Canada, 11 are stable or increasing in number. They are not going extinct, or even appear to be affected at present,” Taylor wrote on May 1, 2006. See here: http://www.thestar.com/NASApp/cs/ContentServer?pagename=thestar/Layout/Article_Type1&c=Article&cid=1146433819696&call_pageid=970599119419

Claim: Herbert wrote: “…with the once-glorious snows of Kilimanjaro about to bring down the final curtain on their long, long run…”

Fact: A New York Times recent article debunked Herbert’s claims, noting that there is ‘dubious evidence’ that Kilimanjaro is melting due to global warming. “The ice on Kilimanjaro has been in retreat since at least the 1880's, with the greatest decline occurring at the beginning of that period, when greenhouse gas concentrations were much lower,” says the New York Times article of July4, 2006 by Philip M. Boffey. “The National Academies panel judged that Kilimanjaro's glaciers "may be shrinking primarily as a continuing response to precipitation changes earlier in the century," Boffey noted.

Claim: Herbert wrote: “…with the virtual disappearance of Lake Chad in Africa, which was once the size of Lake Erie, it may be time to get serious about trying to slow this catastrophic trend.”

Fact: The disappearance of Lake Chad primarily has been caused by human overuse of water, not global warming. “The lake’s decline probably has nothing to do with global warming, report the two scientists, who based their findings on computer models and satellite imagery made available by NASA. They attribute the situation instead to human actions related to climate variation, compounded by the ever increasing demands of an expanding population,” according to the April 26, 2001 National Geographic titled “Shrinking African Lake Offers Lesson on Finite Resources.” See: http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2001/04/0426_lakechadshrinks.html ).

Claim: Herbert wrote: “I think the single most effective thing most ordinary Americans could do to become more informed about global warming — and the steps we need to take to fight it — is to go see Al Gore’s movie, “An Inconvenient Truth,” and read his book of the same title.”

Fact: Gore has been criticized by many scientists for his incorrect and misleading presentation of science in his movie. “A general characteristic of Mr. Gore's approach is to assiduously ignore the fact that the earth and its climate are dynamic; they are always changing even without any external forcing. To treat all change as something to fear is bad enough; to do so in order to exploit that fear is much worse.” – wrote Richard S. Lindzen, the Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Atmospheric Science at MIT, in an op-ed in the June 26, 2006 Wall Street Journal. For more scientific critique of Gore see here: http://epw.senate.gov/pressitem.cfm?party=rep&id=257909

In April, 60 scientists wrote a letter to the Canadian Prime Minister questioning the basis for climate alarmism. The letter noted, "’Climate change is real’ is a meaningless phrase used repeatedly by activists to convince the public that a climate catastrophe is looming and humanity is the cause. Neither of these fears is justified. Global climate changes all the time due to natural causes and the human impact still remains impossible to distinguish from this natural "noise." See web link: http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/financialpost/story.html?id=3711460e-bd5a-475d-a6be-4db87559d605

 

 

BBC NEWS

MEDIA ATTACKED FOR 'CLIMATE PORN'

By Richard Black Environment correspondent, BBC News website

Apocalyptic visions of climate change used by newspapers, environmental groups and the UK government amount to "climate porn", a think-tank says.

The report from the Labour-leaning Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) says over-use of alarming images is a "counsel of despair".

It says they make people feel helpless and says the use of cataclysmic imagery is partly commercially motivated.

However, newspapers have defended their coverage of a "crucial issue".

'Nobody knows'

The IPPR report also criticises the reporting of individual climate-friendly acts as "mundane, domestic and uncompelling".

"The climate change discourse in the UK today looks confusing, contradictory and chaotic," says the report, entitled Warm Words.

"It seems likely that the overarching message for the lay public is that in fact, nobody really knows."

Alarm and rhetoric

IPPR's head of climate change Simon Retallack, who commissioned the report from communication specialists Gill Ereaut and Nat Segnit, said: "We were conscious of the fact that the amount of climate change coverage has increased significantly over the last few years, but there had been no analysis of what the coverage amounted to and what impact it might be having."

They analysed 600 newspaper and magazine articles, as well as broadcast news and adverts.

Coverage breaks down, they concluded, into several distinct areas, including:

Alarmism, characterised by images and words of catastrophe Settlerdom, in which "common sense" is used to argue against the scientific consensus Rhetorical scepticism, which argues the science is bad and the dangers hyped Techno-optimism, the argument that technology can solve the problem

Publications said often to take a "sceptical" line included the Daily Mail and Sunday Telegraph.

Into the "alarmist" camp the authors put articles published in newspapers such as the Independent, Financial Times and Sunday Times, as well as statements from environmental groups, academics including James Lovelock and Lord May, and some government programmes.

"It is appropriate to call [what some of these groups publish] 'climate porn', because on some level it is like a disaster movie," Mr Retallack told the BBC News website.

"The public become disempowered because it's too big for them; and when it sounds like science fiction, there is an element of the unreal there."

'Horror film'

No British newspaper has taken climate change to its core agenda quite like the Independent, which regularly publishes graphic-laden front pages threatening global meltdown, with articles inside continuing the theme.

A recent leader, commenting on the heatwave then affecting Britain, said: "Climate change is an 18-rated horror film. This is its PG-rated trailer.

"The awesome truth is that we are the last generation to enjoy the kind of climate that allowed civilisation to germinate, grow and flourish since the start of settled agriculture 11,000 years ago."

Ian Birrell, the newspaper's deputy editor, said climate change was serious enough to merit this kind of linguistic treatment.

"The Independent led the way on campaigning on climate change and global warming because clearly it's a crucial issue facing the world," he said.

"You can see the success of our campaign in the way that the issue has risen up the political agenda."

Mr Retallack, however, believes some newspapers take an alarmist line on climate change through commercial motives rather than ideology.

"Every newspaper is a commercial organisation," he said, "and when you have a terrifying image on the front of the paper, you are likely to sell more copies than when you write about solutions."

Mr Birrell denied the charge. "You put on your front page what you deem important and what you think is important to your readers," he said.

"If our readers thought we put climate change on our front pages for the same reason that porn mags put naked women on their front pages, they would stop reading us.

"And I disagree that there's an implicit 'counsel of despair', because while we're campaigning on big issues such as ice caps, we also do a large amount on how people can change their own lives, through cycling, installing energy-efficient lighting, recycling, food miles; we've been equally committed on these issues."

Small is not beautiful

The IPPR report acknowledges that the media, government and NGOs do discuss individual actions which can impact greenhouse gas emissions, such as installing low-energy lightbulbs.

But, it says, there is a mismatch of scale; a conclusion with which Solitaire Townsend, MD of the sustainable development communications consultancy Futerra, agrees.

"The style of climate change discourse is that we maximise the problem and minimise the solution," she said.

"So we use a loud rumbling voice to talk about the challenge, about melting ice and drought; yet we have a mouse-like voice when we talk about 'easy, cheap and simple' solutions, making them sound as tiny as possible because we think that's what makes them acceptable to the public.

"In fact it makes them seem trivial in relation to the problem."

Mr Retallack believes his report contains important lessons for the government as it attempts to engage the British public with climate change.

"The government has just put £12m into climate change communication initiatives," he said, "including teams which will work at the local level.

"It's vital that this motivates and engages the public."

Click here for the article. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/5236482.stm

 

 

Fact of the Day: Wednesday, August 02, 2006 Mark Reeder, director of regulatory economics for the New York State Department, made the claim that the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI)--an agreement by seven Northeastern states to require the power sector to cut carbon dioxide emissions beginning in 2009--should have little impact on the reliability of the power grid in the region. He explained, “Power plants throughout the Northeast, which would be required to obtain tradable emissions allowances or credits for each ton of carbon dioxide they emit, already have flexibility to reduce emissions in the short term simply by switching their fuel source from coal to cleaner natural gas.” Fact: The United States already faces a natural gas crisis. Policies like RGGI, aimed at forcing additional fuel switching, will drive prices even higher. Just yesterday the USA Today reported the cost of natural gas just hit a six month high this week as demand increased for natural-gas-generated electricity. In March of 2004, Rhode Island Governor Carcieri addressed the natural gas crisis affecting the Northeast, testifying before the EPW Committee, “The high cost of natural gas is taking a toll on our economy across New England and the nation. In today’s competitive world manufacturers cannot raise prices to compensate for rising energy costs... We must develop reasonable policies on both state and federal levels that allow natural gas to be produced and delivered to homes and businesses across the country. The alternative is a Northeast without sufficient energy supplies and stable prices — a Northeast that cannot keep the heat on in thousands of homes, cannot provide for the industrial capacity of manufacturing businesses, and cannot remain competitive at home or abroad.” This past February, Jack Gerard, head of the American Chemistry Council, testified before the EPW Committee addressing the effect of already high natural gas prices saying, “The high price of natural gas is driving the global chemical industry out of the US. For example, today there are more than 120 world-scale chemical plants -- plants costing more than $1 billion -- under development around the world. Only one is being built in the United States. Business Week calls it the 'hollowing out of the nation’s industrial core.' By contrast, fifty of those new plants are being built in China…In a few short years, the US chemical industry has lost more than $50 billion in business to overseas operations and more than 100,000 good-paying jobs in our industry have disappeared. Put another way, the chemical industry went from posting the highest trade surplus in the nation’s history in the late 1990s to becoming a net importer by 2002.” Despite the claims of proponents of RGGI and other carbon cap initiatives, fuel switching to natural gas is irresponsible and hurts both American workers and consumers.

Note: Yesterday’s Congress Daily article, “Mixed Brew of Objections Imperils Chemical Security Bill (August 1, 2006),” accurately reports on the current debate regarding chemical security legislation now taking place in the United States Senate. Hopefully, newspapers such as the Minneapolis Star Tribune will take note. Their recent editorial titled, “Shameful Stalling on Chem-Plant Safety (July 24, 2006),” failed to cover the full debate, leaving their readers with only half the story.

 

Congress Daily

Mixed Brew Of Objections Imperils Chemical Security Bill

By Chris Strohm

By Chris Strohm

August 1, 2006 (PM Edition)

With the fall elections fast approaching and legislative days running out, Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Chairwoman Collins faces a two-front battle over a comprehensive chemical security bill, jeopardizing prospects that legislation will be passed this year. Her committee unanimously approved a bill in June that would give the Homeland Security Department the authority, for the first time, to regulate and establish security standards for facilities that produce, use or store chemical substances, and penalize facilities that do not comply. Since then, Senate Environment and Public Works Chairman Inhofe has placed a hold on the bill, and a bipartisan group of 14 other senators sent Collins a letter stating several concerns they want resolved before floor debate.

Inhofe objects to the bill because it would allow the Homeland Security Department to regulate drinking water and wastewater facilities that use chemicals, an Inhofe aide said. Inhofe also believes regulating drinking water and wastewater facilities is under the jurisdiction of his committee, said the aide, who noted that Inhofe's committee passed a bill in May that would establish security regulations for wastewater treatment plants. The aide said the Inhofe and Collins staffs are in discussions to try and resolve their differences, but have not reached any agreements. Collins, in a statement to CongressDaily, pleaded for a resolution. "Given the urgent need for legislation to strengthen the security of the nation's chemical plants, it is disappointing that Sen. Inhofe is holding up a bill that was approved unanimously by the Homeland Security Committee," Collins said. "I hope that the senator will agree to a time agreement that would allow him to offer amendments to address whatever concerns he has, rather than continuing to block consideration of the bill."

The 14 senators who wrote Collins July 13 wanted several issues resolved before the Senate took up the bill. Among the signers were Senate Armed Services Chairman Warner and Sens. George Voinovich, R-Ohio, and Mark Pryor, D-Ark. -- all members of her committee. They called for provisions that would pre-empt states from passing stronger chemical security regulations than federal law; ensure protection of sensitive information; not disrupt the Coast Guard's regulatory regime of chemical facilities at seaports; and bar Homeland Security officials from mandating "inherently safer technology" at facilities, which may include alternative chemicals and manufacturing processes.

"The bill reported out of committee could make communities more vulnerable by allowing the release of sensitive security information to potential terrorists; disrupting ongoing security operations; and creating an unnecessary, redundant, complex and confusing patchwork of local, state and federal security regulations that would provide for inconsistent levels of security across the country," the senators wrote. They argued that the subject of inherently safer technology is "a safety and environmental issue to be addressed before the Environment and Public Works Committee." Inhofe did not sign the letter, but his aide said the chairman agrees the issues raised in it "must be resolved before the bill should be considered on the Senate floor."

 

WASHINGTON TIMES

EDITORIAL: FEAR FACTOR

Climatologist James Hansen's article "The Threat to the Planet" is featured on the front page of the July 13 New York Review of Books, which carries the label "Fiction Issue." How appropriate. In his review of three alarmist books on global warming and of Al Gore's documentary "An Inconvenient Truth," Mr. Hansen stresses all kinds of catastrophic consequences of higher temperatures. Echoing the horror movie "The Day After Tomorrow," He has sea level rising 20 feet by 2100, inundating most of Florida and a good many East Coast cities. By contrast, the U.N. panel of climate scientists, often claimed to represent a "consensus," manages only about one-foot rise by 2100. Question: Is Mr. Hansen "out of the mainstream," a closet "skeptic," or even -- to use Gorespeak -- a "denier" of the consensus?

Mr. Hansen, you recall, is the NASA scientist who complained -- most recently on CBS "60 Minutes" -- of being "gagged," "muzzled" and otherwise put upon by the Bush administration. He also accepted a quarter-million dollars from the Heinz Foundation of Teresa Heinz Kerry and campaigned for John Kerry and against George Bush in Iowa. No connection between these two events, of course. After all, it's ketchup money, not oil money.

The main problems with Mr. Hansen, and others like him, are not the wild claims of coming disasters. No one in his right mind pays attention to these anyway. No, it is the fact that nowhere does he demonstrate that the current, rather modest warming trend is human-caused. He just assumes it: Temperatures are rising, and so is carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Sorry, that's not good enough. Not when he calls for far-reaching policies that would throttle energy use and the national economy.

Climate models are not evidence and correlations are not proof. The climate of the 20th century warmed sharply before 1940 when CO2 levels were low, and cooled until 1975 while CO2 rose rapidly. Clearly, natural climate fluctuations dominated. So how important is the human contribution to warming since 1975? There is no consensus: Scientific opinions vary from 0 percent up to 100 percent, with most somewhere in between. Tellingly, however, the patterns of warming do not agree with what is expected from the greenhouse effect of CO2.

There is a similar lack of consensus among economists. Some think that warming would be beneficial; others take the opposite view. But here we have relevant historical data. The planet (or at least the northern hemisphere) was much warmer in medieval times than today: Viking settlements in Greenland; no climate calamities; no inundations. The ice sheets survived the warming, and so did the polar bears.

The "Little Ice Age," which followed the Medieval Warm Period and lasted till about 1850, was a real calamity, however: harvests failed, people starved, disease was rampant. So if cooling is bad, and if warming were also bad, why would our present climate just happen to be the best?

Click Here for the Editorial: http://www.washtimes.com/op-ed/20060731-085007-4855r.htm

 

Washington Post Bush Pollution Curbs Are Rated Equal to Clinton's Science Panel Says Proposed Cap-and-Trade System Will Help Clean Air By Juliet Eilperin Washington Post Staff Writer Saturday, July 22, 2006; A05 The Bush administration's new program to cut harmful pollutants from utilities through a cap-and-trade system will do nearly as much to clean the nation's air as the Clinton administration's effort to make aging power plants install pollution controls when they modernize or expand, a report by an independent scientific panel has concluded. The report from the National Academy of Sciences, released yesterday, represents the latest effort to assess how best to reduce air pollution estimated to cause as many as 24,000 premature deaths each year. The panel concluded that an earlier Bush plan would have allowed pollution to increase over a dozen years, but it found that the administration's more recent Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) -- which targets emissions from power plants in 22 states and the District of Columbia -- would help clean the air over the next two decades…. The CAIR approach aims to reduce nitrogen oxide and sulfur dioxide emissions by 70 percent by 2025 at the latest, according to the Environmental Protection Agency, through a system that would allow utilities to sell and buy pollution credits as long as industry emissions as a whole stayed below a pre-set cap. The Clinton administration had focused on cutting emissions under the 1970 Clean Air Act through a program called New Source Review (NSR), now discarded, which required aging plants to install new, cleaner technology every time they upgraded facilities… "Any reasonable projection of what NSR is going to accomplish won't come close to what CAIR is going to accomplish," [William] Wehrum [EPA's acting assistant administrator for air and radiation] said in an interview. The Bush plan "gets significant reductions across the power sector but places greater emphasis on controlling the biggest emitters, which are the places we care about most." Scott Segal, a utilities lobbyist, concurred that the report proved "cap-and-trade programs are really what reduce emissions." Click HERE for the article.

Naomi Oreskes, History of Science professor at the University of California at San Diego, in a Los Angeles Times op-ed, “Global Warming -- Signed, Sealed and Delivered,” set out to defend the validity of her study titled “The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change (Science Magazine, December 3, 2004). The study purportedly shows a 100% consensus on human caused global warming. In today’s op-ed, however, Oreskes failed to acknowledge several key criticisms to her analysis of peer reviewed literature allegedly showing there is 100% scientific consensus that human activity is primarily responsible for warming the planet in the last 50 years.

FACT: Oreskes’s study contained major flaws. Oreskes did not inform readers in today’s commentary that she admitted to making a search term error that excluded about 11,000 papers –more than 90% of the papers– dealing with climate change. Oreskes also failed to inform readers that, according to one critique of her study, less than 2% of the abstracts she analyzed endorsed what she terms the “consensus view” on human activity and climate change and that some of the studies actually doubted that human activity has caused warming in the last 50 years.

Oreskes originally claimed she analyzed the peer-reviewed scientific journals between 1993 and 2003 under the keywords “climate change” and found just 928 articles. It turns out she was not accurate, according to British social scientist Benny Peiser a professor at Liverpool John Moores University.

A search using the terms “climate change” actually turned up almost 12,000 papers that were published during the time frame Oreskes claimed to have researched. In other words, her supposedly comprehensive research excluded about 11,000 papers. Only after Peiser’s analysis pointed out this error in her study did Oreskes reportedly admit that her study was not based on the keywords “climate change,” but on the far more restrictive phrase “global climate change.”

Peiser noted:

“These objections were put to Oreskes by science writer David Appell. On 15 December 2004, she admitted that there was indeed a serious mistake in her Science essay. According to Oreskes, her study was not based on the keywords “climate change,” but on “global climate change.”

 

Oreskes’s 100% “consensus” would potentially be accurate only by excluding well over 90% of the available papers in the time frame she was researching, according to Peiser. Eliminating about 11,000 papers (even if a small portion would not be considered ‘peer reviewed’) in favor of just 928, hardly proves a “consensus.”

In addition, Peiser found that less than 2% of the studies Oreskes examined supported her “consensus view” and some of the studies actually disagreed with that humans were the chief cause of the past 50 years of climate change.

Peisner also found,

“…While the ISI database includes a total of 929 documents for the period in question, it lists only 905 abstracts. It is thus impossible that Oreskes analyzed 928 abstracts.” (http://www.staff.livjm.ac.uk/spsbpeis/Oreskes-abstracts.htm)

“Oreskes entire argument is flawed as the whole ISI data set includes just 13 abstracts (less than 2%) that explicitly endorse what she has called the 'consensus view.’”

“In fact, the vast majority of abstracts do not mention anthropogenic climate change. Moreover - and despite attempts to deny this fact - a few abstracts actually doubt the view that human activities are the main driving force of “the observed warming over the last 50 years.” (http://www.staff.livjm.ac.uk/spsbpeis/Oreskes-abstracts.htm)

No “Scientific Consensus”

Furthermore, sixty scientists recently wrote an open letter to Canadian Prime Minister Harper calling for a complete review of the science behind climate alarmism. Additionally, recent scientific analyzes dispute the claims of those promoting human-caused catastrophic global warming. The United Nations media hyped “Hockey Stick” was broken in June by a National Academy of Sciences report reaffirming the existence of the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age. Finally, just last week, three researchers -- Edward J. Wegman of George Mason University, David W. Scott of Rice University and Yasmin H. Said of Johns Hopkins University, further debunked the “Hockey Stick.” 

# # #