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WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE? THE FCC AUCTIONS AND THE FUTURE OF RADIO SPECTRUM MANAGEMENT
 
 
April 1997
 
 
NOTES

The per-person, per-megahertz prices used throughout this study are based on 1990 populations, the standard used by the Federal Communications Commission to calculate population-based statistics and payment requirements for its auctions.

 
 
Preface

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that auctions of licenses to use the radio spectrum conducted by the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) from 1994 through 1998 will yield $27.0 billion in receipts to the federal Treasury. The apparent success of the initial auctions has generated interest in the potential of auctions to raise additional receipts and enhance the value of the spectrum to society. In response to a request from the House Committee on the Budget, this study examines the results of the initial FCC auctions, the general outlook for future auctions, and the applicability of auctions to the introduction of digital broadcast television. The study also considers the prospects for using auctions and other market mechanisms not only in assigning licenses to specific users but also in allocating frequencies to different uses. In keeping with CBO's mandate to provide objective analysis, the study makes no recommendations.

Coleman Bazelon, Perry Beider, and David Moore of CBO's Natural Resources and Commerce Division wrote the study under the supervision of Jan Paul Acton and Elliot Schwartz. Although the three authors contributed to all sections of the study, David Moore, who coordinated the study, wrote Chapters 2 and 3, Perry Beider wrote Chapter 4, and Coleman Bazelon wrote Chapter 5. Mark Booth, Pete Fontaine, and Rachel Forward of CBO provided helpful comments on drafts of the study. For valuable comments and other assistance with their research, the authors also owe thanks to many professional staff members of the FCC and the National Telecommunications and Information Administration, the participants in a February 1996 roundtable discussion held at CBO, and the following individuals: Peter Cramton, Peter Fannon, Dale Hatfield, Tom Hazlett, Chuck Jackson, John Ledyard, Roger Noll, and David Reed.

Sherry Snyder edited the manuscript, and Marlies Dunson provided editorial assistance. Angela McCollough typed the many drafts, with assistance from Rae Wiseman. Kathryn Quattrone prepared the study for publication.
 

June E. O'Neill
Director
April 1997
 
 


Contents
 

SUMMARY

ONE - INTRODUCTION

TWO - AUCTIONS HELD BY THE FEDERAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION

THREE - PROPOSALS AND ESTIMATES FOR FUTURE AUCTIONS

FOUR - THE CASE OF DIGITAL TELEVISION

FIVE - IMPROVING SPECTRUM MANAGEMENT:

TABLES
 
S-1.  Selected FCC Auctions
S-2.  Overview of Plans for Introducing Digital TV
1.  Selected FCC Auctions
2.  Total Population in Markets for Personal Communications and Cellular Telephone Services Covered by the Three Largest Winners in the A&B Block Auction
3.  Licenses Won by Designated Entities in Selected FCC Auctions
4.  Spending by the Federal Communications Commission for Auctions
5.  Allocation of the Radio Spectrum to Federal, Nonfederal, and Shared Uses
6.  Projected Receipts from FCC Auctions
7.  The Federal Communications Commission's Plan for Reallocating the NTIA Spectrum
8.  Summary of Plans for Introducing Digital TV
9.  Summary Evaluation of Plans for Introducing Digital TV
 
FIGURE
 
1.  The Electromagnetic Spectrum
 
BOXES
 
1.  Were C Block Licenses More Valuable Than A&B Block Licenses?
2.  Issues Concerning the Budgetary Treatment of Receipts from the FCC Auctions
3.  A Comparison of the Congressional Budget Office's and the Office of Management and Budget's Estimates of the FCC Auction Receipts in the President's Budget Proposals for 1998
4.  Estimates of the Relative Economic Efficiency of the Baseline Plan and the Early-Return Plan for the TV Spectrum
5.  Other Estimates of Receipts from Auctioning the Digital Channels
6.  Are CBO's Estimates Internally Consistent?
7.  An Alternative Path of Reform


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