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Educational Attainment and Compensation of Enlisted Personnel
  February 2004  


Cover Graphic



Notes

Numbers in the text, tables, and figures of this report may not add up to totals because of rounding.

Unless otherwise indicated, all years referred to in this report are fiscal years.

The cover photo shows an enlisted member of the Navy stationed in Naples, Italy, studying for a class offered by the University of Maryland, Europe. The photo is courtesy of the U.S. Navy and was taken by Photographer's Mate 3rd Class Heather Warick.





                
Preface

Over the past two decades, the proportion of enlisted service members--particularly midcareer and senior enlisted personnel--with some postsecondary education has increased. The Department of Defense (DoD) has responded to that increase by awarding higher-than-average pay raises to all midlevel and senior enlisted personnel.

This Congressional Budget Office (CBO) paper--prepared in response to a request from the Senate Budget Committee--examines the basis for those targeted pay raises. It reviews trends in the educational attainment of the enlisted force and analyzes the effect of education on the retention of enlisted personnel with 3 to 17 years of service. The paper also compares total compensation for enlisted personnel (including retirement and medical benefits) with compensation for civilian workers of similar ages and levels of experience. Finally, the paper looks at alternative ways to increase the quality of the enlisted force that could be more cost-effective than targeted pay raises. In keeping with CBO's mandate to provide objective analysis, this paper makes no recommendations.

Adebayo Adedeji of CBO's National Security Division wrote the paper under the supervision of Deborah Clay-Mendez and J. Michael Gilmore. At CBO, Daniel Frisk provided valuable assistance in describing the higher education programs that DoD offers to military personnel, Chad Goldberg helped with data processing, and Carol Frost provided programming assistance for the statistical analyses. Nabeel Alsalam, Robert Dennis, Cary Elliot, Seth Giertz, Roger Hitchner, Arlene Holen, and Elizabeth Robinson of CBO offered thoughtful comments on an earlier draft, as did Glen Gotz of the Institute for Defense Analyses.

Christian Spoor edited the paper, and Juyne Linger proofread it. Maureen Costantino designed the cover and prepared the report for publication. Lenny Skutnik produced the printed copies, and Annette Kalicki prepared the electronic versions for CBO's Web site.

Douglas Holtz-Eakin
Director
February 2004




CONTENTS


Summary and Introduction
      Educational Trends and Pay Targeting by DoD
      The Cost of Targeted Raises
      An Alternative View of Rising Education Levels
      Policies to Enhance the Quality of the Enlisted Force
 
The Educational Characteristics of the Enlisted Force and the Impact on Retention
      Trends in Educational Attainment
      The Relationship Between Education and Retention
 
The Rewards to Education in the Military and Private Sector
      How the Military Rewards Education
      Enlisted and Civilian Compensation for People with Different Levels of Education
 
The Uncertain Policy Implications of Rising Educational Attainment for Enlisted Compensation
      Could Educational Trends and Quality Be an Issue in the Future?
      Alternative Policies to Enhance the Quality of the Enlisted Force in the Future
 
Appendix: Details of CBO's Analysis of Retention

Tables
   
1.  The Effect of Education on the Probability of Staying in the Military
A-1.  Selected Characteristics of the Sample
A-2.  Results of Estimated Logit Equations for Retention of Enlisted Personnel
   
Figures
   
1.  Percentage of Enlisted Personnel Who Report Having One or More Years of College Education, by Years of Service
2.  Change in the Educational Attainment of the Enlisted Force Since Entering the Service
3.  Education and Pay Grade in the Enlisted Force
4.  Percentage of Enlisted Personnel Who Are "Fast Trackers," by Highest Level of Education Attained
5.  Average Earnings of Enlisted Personnel, by Highest Level of Education Attained and Years of Service
6.  The Cost of Enlisted Personnel to DoD Compared with the Cost of Civilian Workers to Private Employers
7.  Annualized Pay Advantage of Military Service Over Civilian Employment for Enlisted Personnel, by Highest Level of Education Attained and Years of Service
8.  Continuation Rates for Active-Duty Enlisted Personnel, by Years of Service
   
Boxes
   
1.  Voluntary Education Benefits for Enlisted Personnel
2.  Data Used in CBO's Retention Analysis
3.  The Role of Postsecondary Education in the Promotion Process for Enlisted Personnel
4.  The Annualized-Cost-of-Leaving Approach to Comparing Military and Civilian Pay

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