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January 23, 2004

Honorable William H. Frist, M.D.
Majority Leader
United States Senate
Washington, DC 20510

Dear Mr. Leader:

At your request, CBO has examined the effect of striking the "noninterference" provision (section 1860D-11(i) of the Social Security Act) as added by P. L. 108-173, the Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement, and Modernization Act of 2003. That section bars the Secretary of Health and Human Services from interfering with the negotiations between drug manufacturers and pharmacies and sponsors of prescription drug plans, or from requiring a particular formulary or price structure for covered Part D drugs.

We estimate that striking that provision would have a negligible effect on federal spending because CBO estimates that substantial savings will be obtained by the private plans and that the Secretary would not be able to negotiate prices that further reduce federal spending to a significant degree.Because they will be at substantial financial risk, private plans will have strong incentives to negotiate price discounts, both to control their own costs in providing the drug benefit and to attract enrollees with low premiums and cost-sharing requirements.

If you have any questions we would be happy to answer them. The CBO staff contact is Tom Bradley.

Sincerely,

Douglas Holtz-Eakin
 
 
cc:      Tom Daschle
Democratic Leader
 
  Honorable Don Nickles
Chairman
Committee on the Budget
 
  Honorable Kent Conrad
Ranking Member
 
  Honorable Charles E. Grassley
Chairman
Committee on Finance
 
  Honorable Max Baucus
Ranking Democratic Member
 
  Honorable Jim Nussle
Chairman
House Committee on the Budget
 
  Honorable John M. Spratt Jr.
Ranking Member
 
  Honorable William "Bill" M. Thomas
Chairman
Committee on Ways and Means
 
  Honorable Charles B. Rangel
Ranking Member
 
  Honorable W. J. "Billy" Tauzin
Chairman
Committee on Energy and Commerce
 
  Honorable John D. Dingell
Ranking Member