Congressional Budget OfficeSkip Navigation
Home Red Bullet Publications Red Bullet Cost Estimates Red Bullet About CBO Red Bullet Press Red Bullet Careers Red Bullet Contact Us Red Bullet Director's Blog Red Bullet   RSS
PDF
A
CBO
REPORT

The Cyclically Adjusted and Standardized
Budget Measures: Updated Estimates
September 2004



Notes

Numbers in the text and tables of this report may not add up to totals because of rounding.

All of the years referred to are federal fiscal years.

Spreadsheets showing historical values for the variables of the cyclically adjusted and standardized budgets are available by clicking here: Supplemental Data





                
Preface

This report offers alternative measures of the budget that adjust for cyclical and other factors. It is one of a series of reports that the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) issues each year to fulfill the requirement of section 202(e) of the Congressional Budget Act of 1974 for CBO to submit to the Committees on the Budget periodic reports about fiscal policy and to provide baseline projections of the federal budget. Most recently, in response to that requirement, CBO issued The Budget and Economic Outlook: An Update (September 2004).

Frank Russek wrote this report, with assistance from Adam Gordon and Tumi Coker, under the supervision of John Peterson and Robert Dennis. John Skeen edited the report, Maureen Costantino prepared it for publication, and Annette Kalicki produced the electronic versions for CBO's Web site.

Douglas Holtz-Eakin
Director
September 2004




CONTENTS


Summary
 
Why Adjust Measures of the Total Budget Surplus or Deficit?
 
The Cyclically Adjusted Surplus or Deficit
 
The Standardized-Budget Surplus or Deficit
 
Appendix: Details of CBO's Projections of the Standardized-Budget Surplus or Deficit

Tables
   
1.  Measures of the Federal Budget Surplus or Deficit, 2000 to 2005
A-1.  Details of the Standardized-Budget Surplus or Deficit, 2000 to 2005 (Billions of dollars)
A-2.  Details of the Standardized-Budget Surplus or Deficit, 2000 to 2005 (Percentage of potential GDP)
A-3.  The Standardized-Budget Surplus or Deficit and Related Series, 1962 to 2005 (Billions of dollars)
A-4.  The Standardized-Budget Surplus or Deficit and Related Series, 1962 to 2005 (Percentage of potential GDP)
   
Figure
   
1.  The Cyclically Adjusted Surplus or Deficit

Table of Contents Next Page